Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x334dc9ae94ff0e5c88efdcf9a415b988d13c3a54f06cb5236c5f2438851e934b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 7c | 1,481$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb069…9568backed No | 71c | 1,428$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 1,187$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.88 | 7,966 | 45.3%3,608 W · 4,358 L | +9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 75c | 964.08$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.67 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 29c | 951$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.79 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 73c | 687.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.57 | 965 | 42.9%414 W · 551 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 579.67$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.7 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b8…36ddbacked No | 69c | 475$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…6071backed Yes | 32c | 299.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.95 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 69c | 205$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.55 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca10backed Yes | 24c | 202.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes | 32c | 188$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 74c | 139.15$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 124.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 2,366 | 46.8%1,108 W · 1,258 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 24c | 120.17$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 75 | 41.3%31 W · 44 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5a9cbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked No | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 24c | 98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 29c | 95$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 90.65$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 801 | 50.1%401 W · 400 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 231 | 51.9%120 W · 111 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0011…4333backed No | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked No | 75c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 230 | 47.8%110 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 30c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 29cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 47.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1,480 | 37.8%560 W · 920 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,111 | 47.9%532 W · 579 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed No | 70c | 14.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.32 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -11.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 69c | 14.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -7.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kocaelispor vs. Amed Sportif end in a draw?this page
- Will Amed Sportif win on 2026-08-24?No won
- Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-08-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.