TailMyPicks
Market

Premier League · resolved market

Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,829
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$21,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,829 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Yes36c2,876$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.454,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes42c2,411$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.372,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Yes42c2,251$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945.341735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No76c2,182$1,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.256,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.996650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No41c1,660$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.2882763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No57c1,648$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.841,16357.4%667 W · 496 L+40.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes18c1,394$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes58c1,300$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.3536563%230 W · 135 L+32.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+33.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No63c1,230$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.2940655.2%224 W · 182 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Yes56c914.22$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6920651.9%107 W · 99 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Yes45c788.89$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3555438.9%21 W · 33 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-22.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x660d…56acbacked Yes45c586.64$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.9911146.8%52 W · 59 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdc20…06b7backed No56c528.51$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.372100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No63c447.84$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.1711555.7%64 W · 51 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x555c…ee28backed No55c445$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.255851.7%30 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes44c439.98$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.541,20450.7%610 W · 594 L+1.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No47c438$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.8941343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No63c436.55$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.2923556.2%132 W · 103 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No63c378.29$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.3730057%171 W · 129 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No58c313.84$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6960445.4%274 W · 330 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked No55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13525648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes43c217.51$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5396443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No72c212.66$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.16040%24 W · 36 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes44c177.02$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.891,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No55c163.74$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.0475850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2344…3dbebacked No57c140.35$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.35977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+37.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3c…b4f5backed No36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed No71c115.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.688445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Yes44c113.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9913347.4%63 W · 70 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed No36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-58.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.0584549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes43c88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.8445751.2%234 W · 223 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No74c74.02$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.1653344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c72.68$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.252,55847.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8761…5619backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301540%6 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes59c56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.044744.7%21 W · 26 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5513746%63 W · 74 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No57c53.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0227552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No57c50.93$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed No35c41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.65450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…2c24backed Yes31c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2287.1%2 W · 26 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick29cpaid-75.2%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes72c36$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.828659.3%51 W · 35 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1510054%54 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e9f…b23bbacked No57c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.910168.3%69 W · 32 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes42c28.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1820259.9%121 W · 81 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed No58c28.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.972857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes43c28.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1821254.2%115 W · 97 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked No56c26.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7911164%71 W · 40 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107538.7%29 W · 46 L-7.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.241956.3%236 W · 183 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Yes63c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.522060%12 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No56c18.07$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.959352.7%49 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.