Tweets · resolved market
Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34479023cc826b54d762f7123d9e67b4bd438fc73f753de77131367770744fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 17c | 2,567$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.58 | 424 | 24.5%104 W · 320 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2d…de68backed Yes | 21c | 639.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.49 | 176 | 12.5%22 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x708e…d03fbacked Yes | 12c | 406.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes | 5c | 400$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 427 | 19.2%82 W · 345 L | +23.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes | 4c | 392.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…4664backed Yes | 19c | 377.2$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x360e…c462backed Yes | 14c | 362.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 18c | 339.44$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.61 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7026backed No | 56c | 295.26$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 312 | 42.9%134 W · 178 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 16c | 281.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…8d4cbacked Yes | 19c | 240.39$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.66 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Yes | 17c | 234.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fe…1f3ebacked Yes | 9c | 219.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…8a2fbacked Yes | 11c | 180.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 30.7%116 W · 262 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 25c | 148.24$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 16c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes | 17c | 99.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 317 | 43.2%137 W · 180 L | +28.2wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 76c | 91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 78c | 80.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 22c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6709…385bbacked Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 442 | 27.4%121 W · 321 L | -21.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…3e2bbacked Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed No | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…5db6backed No | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will White House post 180-199 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?this page
- Will White House post 140-159 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 160-179 posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No won
- Will White House post 200+ posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.