Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Hsieh/Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3448430c99aef87d5e82c25c8a61345f1ed9284e6e4ed0b6ed415d046d94e077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guo/Mladenovicof Guo/Mladenovic, Hsieh/Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,196
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,196 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hsieh/Wang | 20c | 2,710$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.97 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 80c | 2,647$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.58 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6e…542dbacked Hsieh/Wang | 55c | 294.3$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 197 | 56.3%111 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…8c11backed Guo/Mladenovic | 46c | 225$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8c…20e4backed Hsieh/Wang | 54c | 225$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.5 | 102 | 64.7%66 W · 36 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Guo/Mladenovic | 46c | 209.02$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.87 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…6eaabacked Hsieh/Wang | 40c | 194.09$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.64 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 78c | 185.17$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff87…f5f7backed Hsieh/Wang | 54c | 156.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 46c | 156.67$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.54 | 145 | 31.7%46 W · 99 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked Hsieh/Wang | 58c | 147.24$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…5463backed Hsieh/Wang | 58c | 146.55$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Guo/Mladenovic | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e9…1587backed Hsieh/Wang | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hsieh/Wang | 16c | 78.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Guo/Mladenovic | 45c | 78.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…7289backed Guo/Mladenovic | 75c | 68.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe22f…49b1backed Guo/Mladenovic | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Hsieh/Wang | 55c | 52.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.66 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…206cbacked Guo/Mladenovic | 46c | 51.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 856 | 37.7%323 W · 533 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Guo/Mladenovic | 80c | 42.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…1ae3backed Hsieh/Wang | 56c | 39.61$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked Guo/Mladenovic | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Hsieh/Wang | 56c | 35.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Guo/Mladenovic | 74c | 33.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Guo/Mladenovic | 47c | 32.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Guo/Mladenovic | 66c | 29.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Guo/Mladenovic | 43c | 25.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.