Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34728b6e83dfb3747f61249c6208cc7c110b7197a1bdd3c31a21e5a742fb9996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,523
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,523 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 6c | 3,255$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.59 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed Yes | 3c | 1,899$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.38 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,807$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.4 | 1,370 | 20.7%283 W · 1,087 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…f2febacked Yes | 5c | 1,529$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 131 | 27.5%36 W · 95 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 5c | 895.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.54 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 69c | 782.2$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.98 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1703…1f9bbacked Yes | 7c | 705.01$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 97 | 12.4%12 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | +61%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3271…cd33backed Yes | 5c | 705$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 148 | 28.4%42 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x710b…a42dbacked Yes | 5c | 626.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 228 | 25.9%59 W · 169 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 6c | 615$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.43 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Yes | 11c | 519.47$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 207 | 10.1%21 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed Yes | 4c | 458$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 23c | 429$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.92 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x180e…29dfbacked Yes | 33c | 400.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.77 | 629 | 60.3%379 W · 250 L | +27.8wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd394…7e90backed Yes | 4c | 327.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 62c | 325.84$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…b8efbacked Yes | 34c | 321.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.18 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 10c | 313.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.37 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579d…247cbacked Yes | 7c | 312.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 80 | 28.8%23 W · 57 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 4c | 288.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 197 | 4.6%9 W · 188 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 77c | 268.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 12c | 223.56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 1,119 | 23.7%265 W · 854 L | +74.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 23c | 220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.76 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 218.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.06 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked No | 75c | 213.6$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 27c | 201.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.47 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,866 | 25.4%474 W · 1,392 L | +134.7wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 33c | 198$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 33c | 188.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.7 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 14c | 171.22$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 31c | 161.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed No | 68c | 160.85$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.02 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb87f…f7d4backed Yes | 34c | 160.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 251 | 58.6%147 W · 104 L | +14.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 14c | 156.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 35c | 151.7$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe630…ef20backed No | 70c | 150.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.59 | 352 | 83.8%295 W · 57 L | +39.0wins | +0.11per pick | 73cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5824…19d5backed Yes | 21c | 140$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 147 | 27.9%41 W · 106 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 8c | 139.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 12c | 129.68$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ce…c1fdbacked Yes | 35c | 128.98$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 38 | 71.1%27 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 28c | 117$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 5,255 | 49.8%2,618 W · 2,637 L | -163.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 22c | 113.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012f…400dbacked Yes | 26c | 99.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 456 | 30%137 W · 319 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…e1e0backed Yes | 34c | 99.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 262 | 53.8%141 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 24c | 94.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 73c | 86.7$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 21c | 82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed Yes | 32c | 81.38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 153 | 27.5%42 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Yes | 14c | 79.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed Yes | 30c | 75.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 30c | 75.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 73c | 75.04$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 533 | 73.7%393 W · 140 L | +36.8wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 70c | 70.71$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.34 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4868…a1c1backed Yes | 35c | 69.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 19c | 66.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,154 | 25%289 W · 865 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 25c | 66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 726 | 20.4%148 W · 578 L | -46.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…4b1abacked Yes | 35c | 65.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 582 | 47.8%278 W · 304 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 552 | 38.8%214 W · 338 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 77c | 59.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 22c | 54.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 997 | 57.2%570 W · 427 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0036…df65backed Yes | 20c | 50.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 207 | 36.7%76 W · 131 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…2fa1backed No | 65c | 50.51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8002…7895backed Yes | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b66…02edbacked No | 75c | 46.96$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d6f5backed Yes | 27c | 43.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 75 | 32%24 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x754b…d06abacked No | 66c | 40.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.74 | 245 | 70.6%173 W · 72 L | +22.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33ab…149bbacked No | 68c | 39.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 255 | 69%176 W · 79 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee25…63ccbacked Yes | 28c | 39.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 247 | 56.3%139 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca6…6595backed No | 73c | 38.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 120 | 64.2%77 W · 43 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 65c | 33.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80db…4a73backed Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,417 | 65.2%924 W · 493 L | +59.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1c…3f79backed No | 67c | 26.8$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.73 | 575 | 59.7%343 W · 232 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 79c | 26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 3,126 | 61.8%1,931 W · 1,195 L | -30.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61dd…cbd8backed No | 65c | 25.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 79c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 1,597 | 78.6%1,255 W · 342 L | +41.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…e849backed No | 67c | 21.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 70c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fc…89f2backed No | 80c | 20.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,367 | 69.2%946 W · 421 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 67c | 20.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 211 | 46.9%99 W · 112 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47e6…c039backed No | 78c | 19.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 199 | 46.2%92 W · 107 L | -14.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6288…fd46backed No | 69c | 16.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 84 | 85.7%72 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on August 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.