Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89dc87cd3ba7ccb7c1021aa11c85487919549336d6776f506754ed9a0f06bd45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 153 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f6a…eb61backed Yes | 49c | 1,266$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.83 | 124 | 41.9%52 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +94.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a81…6cf9backed Yes | 50c | 1,159$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.36 | 172 | 24.4%42 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 45c | 979.44$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.35 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 18c | 643.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.77 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 12c | 568.75$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.65 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9281…60febacked Yes | 46c | 530.71$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.29 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…b966backed No | 11c | 418.62$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.97 | 1,936 | 38.1%737 W · 1,199 L | +296.8wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 28c | 381.75$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.09 | 6,905 | 53.1%3,666 W · 3,239 L | +422.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 63c | 350.91$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.04 | 1,370 | 20.7%283 W · 1,087 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed Yes | 15c | 307.92$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.29 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked Yes | 59c | 294.06$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.32 | 275 | 78.5%216 W · 59 L | +51.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…6845backed No | 51c | 293.49$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked No | 57c | 273$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.56 | 1,488 | 57.3%853 W · 635 L | +46.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b40…ced4backed No | 22c | 245.64$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.8 | 1,014 | 51.6%523 W · 491 L | +108.5wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 27c | 244.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758d…9548backed Yes | 31c | 224.26$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.87 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 33c | 203.96$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.84 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.97 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed No | 50c | 199.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 36c | 187.35$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 40c | 186.28$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.22 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 42c | 179.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.38 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 32c | 177.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 726 | 20.4%148 W · 578 L | -46.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 51c | 171.85$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.59 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 22c | 171.51$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.04 | 921 | 45.6%420 W · 501 L | -29.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…8c99backed No | 70c | 170$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 37 | 78.4%29 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc847…33f6backed No | 48c | 162.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 19c | 161.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.97 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 63c | 154.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.57 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…e9f8backed Yes | 53c | 151.13$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 1,156 | 31.1%359 W · 797 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…ccccbacked Yes | 75c | 142.75$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 96 | 71.9%69 W · 27 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked No | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 1,177 | 34.9%411 W · 766 L | +29.9wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 77c | 133.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 39c | 120.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 46c | 120.23$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e75…0f1ebacked Yes | 24c | 119.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 39c | 117.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 17c | 115.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 61c | 113.31$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.98 | 1,158 | 57.1%661 W · 497 L | -45.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 32c | 112.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 28c | 110.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 29c | 110.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Yes | 32c | 108.45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 107 | 35.5%38 W · 69 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fb…32c8backed Yes | 54c | 107.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 208 | 51.9%108 W · 100 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e2…282fbacked Yes | 54c | 101.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.76 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 55c | 101.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 4,009 | 47.3%1,897 W · 2,112 L | +71.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 881 | 50.5%445 W · 436 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed No | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 221 | 16.7%37 W · 184 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1,335 | 50.9%680 W · 655 L | -35.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6a…65e1backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x897e…7bbdbacked Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567a…b24cbacked Yes | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.99 | 153 | 27.5%42 W · 111 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3079…7b77backed Yes | 50c | 99.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6bee…7e78backed Yes | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 1,119 | 23.7%265 W · 854 L | +74.2wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed No | 78c | 99.97$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 1,858 | 42.7%793 W · 1,065 L | +50.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…c773backed No | 75c | 99.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.52 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 35c | 98.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.72 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 69c | 98.09$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.87 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…8d6dbacked Yes | 52c | 93.48$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.87 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 56c | 91.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 679 | 44.6%303 W · 376 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1096…a162backed Yes | 34c | 91.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.37 | 547 | 38.6%211 W · 336 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 53c | 90.71$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 32c | 90.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ae…314cbacked Yes | 55c | 89$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 1,246 | 30%374 W · 872 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 65c | 88.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.76 | 1,421 | 31.1%442 W · 979 L | -93.8wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 61c | 87.79$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 4,467 | 65.1%2,907 W · 1,560 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 37c | 87.51$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.29 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 41c | 85.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4245…a467backed Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 625 | 39.7%248 W · 377 L | +28.6wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked Yes | 14c | 80$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 316 | 57.6%182 W · 134 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed No | 39c | 79.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed Yes | 54c | 79.65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed Yes | 43c | 75.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 46c | 75.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 986 | 51.1%504 W · 482 L | -49.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 48c | 74.23$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 33c | 73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 2,757 | 29.7%819 W · 1,938 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed Yes | 54c | 72.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 42c | 70.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 31c | 66.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d60…a7a5backed No | 59c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 588 | 50.9%299 W · 289 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 77c | 63.24$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 2,215 | 74%1,638 W · 577 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 29c | 63.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 51c | 63.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 560 | 67.1%376 W · 184 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 25c | 61.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.44 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3e…5337backed Yes | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 855 | 48.7%416 W · 439 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 59c | 58.81$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 58.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 21c | 57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 959 | 19.7%189 W · 770 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 47c | 56.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fad…242fbacked No | 43c | 56.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…c1c8backed Yes | 25c | 55.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.37 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 4,032 | 35.6%1,436 W · 2,596 L | +42.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a92…35bcbacked Yes | 48c | 53.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.65 | 470 | 47.2%222 W · 248 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on August 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.