Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x44d587c1776011b5998c1b0ee8a72ec9bb0f456ec426693981e604391b975eb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 66c | 906.04$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.97 | 1,901 | 55.9%1,062 W · 839 L | -33.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 33c | 556.95$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.73 | 621 | 46.2%287 W · 334 L | +40.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 10c | 532.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.61 | 10,952 | 37.4%4,094 W · 6,858 L | +432.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1c4fbacked Yes | 34c | 493.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 892 | 59.8%533 W · 359 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 73c | 407.49$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.13 | 4,739 | 47.5%2,249 W · 2,490 L | -186.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 9c | 317.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 8,337 | 49.2%4,098 W · 4,239 L | +271.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked No | 77c | 316.07$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 1,067 | 50.7%541 W · 526 L | +29.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28c…cdf8backed Yes | 29c | 300$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c1…1bb0backed No | 63c | 300$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5d…d8b5backed Yes | 29c | 276.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 115 | 27.8%32 W · 83 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 12c | 264.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 2,280 | 14.7%336 W · 1,944 L | +51.5wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 18c | 250.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 827 | 42.8%354 W · 473 L | +28.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 13c | 248.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 7,592 | 37.5%2,849 W · 4,743 L | +96.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 15c | 228.68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.34 | 1,093 | 29.6%324 W · 769 L | +36.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf225…42e0backed Yes | 13c | 227.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.37 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…fc25backed Yes | 35c | 223.25$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec90…fd41backed Yes | 24c | 202.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea2…665abacked Yes | 26c | 199.97$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.99 | 419 | 27%113 W · 306 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0c…ef83backed Yes | 11c | 193.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 190 | 46.3%88 W · 102 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 34c | 192.14$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 3,064 | 33.5%1,027 W · 2,037 L | +13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…b91abacked Yes | 14c | 183.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.69 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 62c | 183.18$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 2,283 | 58.3%1,331 W · 952 L | +85.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d3…6effbacked Yes | 20c | 170.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 535 | 48.2%258 W · 277 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…1d91backed Yes | 19c | 160.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 14c | 160.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.39 | 726 | 20.4%148 W · 578 L | -46.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd322…8503backed No | 66c | 155.32$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.7 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a7…a84bbacked Yes | 37c | 149.46$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.62 | 260 | 38.5%100 W · 160 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 68c | 147.86$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 12,545 | 46.9%5,879 W · 6,666 L | -39.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371b…8786backed Yes | 16c | 145.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 64c | 144.18$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.59 | 4,442 | 53.7%2,387 W · 2,055 L | -17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 14c | 138.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 3,139 | 49.6%1,558 W · 1,581 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…a709backed No | 62c | 134$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 79c | 133.95$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2,216 | 56.8%1,258 W · 958 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1201…005bbacked Yes | 20c | 133.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 192 | 9.9%19 W · 173 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 131.52$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.11 | 2,176 | 53.1%1,156 W · 1,020 L | +36.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…81aabacked No | 74c | 131.04$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 275 | 78.5%216 W · 59 L | +51.6wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +29%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 71c | 123.9$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 2,254 | 58.2%1,311 W · 943 L | +84.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 70c | 121.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 2,274 | 56.7%1,289 W · 985 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…e4f7backed Yes | 30c | 116.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b7…f43cbacked Yes | 10c | 113.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 600 | 32%192 W · 408 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2844…5aa1backed Yes | 19c | 111.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 37c | 110$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 62c | 105.54$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.16 | 2,286 | 57.3%1,309 W · 977 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 63c | 105.29$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 2,295 | 59.3%1,360 W · 935 L | +118.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…39d5backed Yes | 31c | 104.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.36 | 254 | 29.1%74 W · 180 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 70c | 101.51$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 2,254 | 56.9%1,283 W · 971 L | +69.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5284…27f5backed No | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 279 | 44.4%124 W · 155 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 881 | 50.5%445 W · 436 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…372abacked Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 96.95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 2,223 | 56.1%1,247 W · 976 L | +54.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…5a6cbacked Yes | 38c | 92.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 678 | 38.6%262 W · 416 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd456…63a4backed Yes | 33c | 89.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…5de4backed Yes | 14c | 89.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | +37.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe175…a473backed No | 74c | 89.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 78c | 88.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 2,201 | 56.8%1,250 W · 951 L | +69.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…edd3backed Yes | 45c | 88.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.37 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -12.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 16c | 88.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 2,467 | 35.7%880 W · 1,587 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…6307backed Yes | 41c | 85.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 38c | 82.08$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.58 | 290 | 51.4%149 W · 141 L | +25.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6a43…26babacked Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…947bbacked No | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 321 | 49.8%160 W · 161 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 64c | 79.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 2,233 | 56%1,250 W · 983 L | +47.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…825ebacked No | 65c | 77.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 58 | 72.4%42 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54ab…c8dfbacked Yes | 38c | 72.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0018…83a4backed Yes | 28c | 71.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6046…3f9dbacked Yes | 15c | 71.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 467 | 36.8%172 W · 295 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 78c | 71.07$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 3,810 | 65.8%2,508 W · 1,302 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…b34fbacked No | 79c | 70$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.43 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f1d…c41dbacked No | 58c | 66.69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3990…06bebacked Yes | 16c | 66.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 370 | 27.8%103 W · 267 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…8e3cbacked No | 69c | 64.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed No | 69c | 63.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 560 | 67.1%376 W · 184 L | +26.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed Yes | 18c | 62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 2,439 | 58%1,414 W · 1,025 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…ddd6backed No | 79c | 60.36$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1,697 | 52.5%891 W · 806 L | -42.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 66c | 58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 5,836 | 60%3,502 W · 2,334 L | -112.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 75c | 57.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 5,003 | 53.5%2,678 W · 2,325 L | +31.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa4…eae5backed Yes | 36c | 55.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb5…6210backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaba7…8ff1backed Yes | 41c | 48.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 31c | 47.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 12,975 | 20.5%2,666 W · 10,309 L | -2,698.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 68c | 46.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 2,226 | 59.1%1,316 W · 910 L | +110.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 76c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.04 | 4,627 | 58.3%2,696 W · 1,931 L | -114.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 75c | 43.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 571 | 58.1%332 W · 239 L | -28.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4add…6fe5backed No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,671 | 37.9%633 W · 1,038 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 36c | 40.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 2,362 | 20.6%486 W · 1,876 L | -63.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb32…79aabacked No | 62c | 40.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 1,244 | 61.7%767 W · 477 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 269 | 60.2%162 W · 107 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb59a…6ed2backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddba…e638backed No | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.16 | 504 | 62.3%314 W · 190 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96d5…7227backed Yes | 36c | 39.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd90b…da7cbacked No | 64c | 39.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…ded2backed No | 71c | 38.42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 172 | 62.8%108 W · 64 L | +14.9wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeef1…21b8backed Yes | 31c | 38.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 542 | 38.9%211 W · 331 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 66c | 38.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2,250 | 57%1,282 W · 968 L | +65.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 79c | 37.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 706 | 75.5%533 W · 173 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2753…e28abacked Yes | 31c | 36.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 447 | 60%268 W · 179 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 62c | 36.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 3,725 | 33.8%1,258 W · 2,467 L | -194.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed Yes | 38c | 36.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 552 | 38.8%214 W · 338 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 33c | 33.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,649 | 53.2%1,943 W · 1,706 L | +83.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 25?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 25?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 25?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C or higher on August 25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.