Tennis · resolved market
Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco Passaro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3500bc8bbff72ccb9075daf0a2fd09f76c8e0c88c8c4701ce6447de4eeda3817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Kickerof Nicolas Kicker, Francesco Passaro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Francesco Passaro | 57c | 1,149$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.25 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…053abacked Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 909.09$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.09 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Francesco Passaro | 24c | 765.16$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.01 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 750$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Nicolas Kicker | 75c | 666.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.63 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Francesco Passaro | 25c | 512.45$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.59 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Francesco Passaro | 73c | 502.05$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Francesco Passaro | 41c | 484.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Francesco Passaro | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Nicolas Kicker | 54c | 455$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.3 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Francesco Passaro | 35c | 407$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Francesco Passaro | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Nicolas Kicker | 72c | 307.38$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 297.03$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.75 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Nicolas Kicker | 28c | 278.57$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.57 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…30fcbacked Nicolas Kicker | 59c | 250.85$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.85 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Francesco Passaro | 36c | 214.82$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.37 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Francesco Passaro | 21c | 205.91$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.46 | 186 | 36%67 W · 119 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Francesco Passaro | 7c | 199.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Nicolas Kicker | 61c | 163$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.03 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 136.22$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Francesco Passaro | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Nicolas Kicker | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Nicolas Kicker | 61c | 125.07$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 213 | 51.6%110 W · 103 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2470…7ae6backed Nicolas Kicker | 56c | 104.34$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Nicolas Kicker | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Nicolas Kicker | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Nicolas Kicker | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Francesco Passaro | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1840…fbd1backed Francesco Passaro | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nicolas Kicker | 26c | 90.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d26…f4f8backed Nicolas Kicker | 30c | 88.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 86 | 16.3%14 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Francesco Passaro | 19c | 82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Francesco Passaro | 74c | 76.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.92 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Francesco Passaro | 23c | 76.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…573bbacked Nicolas Kicker | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Francesco Passaro | 73c | 63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.24 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Francesco Passaro | 26c | 59.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Francesco Passaro | 70c | 49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Nicolas Kicker | 27c | 38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Francesco Passaro | 59c | 37.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Francesco Passaro | 36c | 34.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nicolas Kicker | 30c | 34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Nicolas Kicker | 62c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Nicolas Kicker | 70c | 32.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Francesco Passaro | 70c | 30.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b0…799fbacked Francesco Passaro | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Francesco Passaro | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Nicolas Kicker | 77c | 14.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Todi: Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco Passarothis page
- Todi: Completed Match: Nicolas Kicker vs Francesco PassaroYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.