CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3559154a50dc535e95d181b3207a45214632330be414e54750978461ce25e907
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof AM Gaming, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,663
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed SPARTA | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.99 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x689c…6b1ebacked AM Gaming | 59c | 1,493$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.88 | 275 | 52%143 W · 132 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked AM Gaming | 58c | 1,006$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.39 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…b8abbacked SPARTA | 58c | 613$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.46 | 206 | 43.7%90 W · 116 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed AM Gaming | 22c | 546.27$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SPARTA | 77c | 483$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked SPARTA | 42c | 393.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.46 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 57c | 351.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.22 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed AM Gaming | 42c | 349.5$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed AM Gaming | 58c | 322.89$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed AM Gaming | 33c | 299.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc52…dfcebacked SPARTA | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4d62…5409backed SPARTA | 56c | 284.74$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.74 | 485 | 62.7%304 W · 181 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed AM Gaming | 7c | 266.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed AM Gaming | 15c | 264.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.72 | 1,649 | 46.9%774 W · 875 L | -28.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed AM Gaming | 58c | 250.06$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.03 | 853 | 58.3%497 W · 356 L | +60.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked SPARTA | 72c | 250$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked SPARTA | 42c | 215$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.7 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed AM Gaming | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AM Gaming | 5c | 195.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked AM Gaming | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff09…80b5backed AM Gaming | 26c | 152.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked SPARTA | 54c | 148.65$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.38 | 105 | 38.1%40 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked AM Gaming | 23c | 146.82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed AM Gaming | 42c | 134.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.03 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed AM Gaming | 46c | 108.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b7…cfa7backed AM Gaming | 27c | 104.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed AM Gaming | 59c | 103.58$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 448 | 52.5%235 W · 213 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 15c | 100.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed SPARTA | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed AM Gaming | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 14c | 97.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed SPARTA | 41c | 87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed AM Gaming | 41c | 84.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 747 | 54.6%408 W · 339 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d43…43a7backed SPARTA | 71c | 80.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked AM Gaming | 41c | 74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed SPARTA | 59c | 68.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 652 | 54.3%354 W · 298 L | +25.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf708…3ac9backed AM Gaming | 16c | 67.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed SPARTA | 42c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 201 | 54.7%110 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 56c | 61.44$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed SPARTA | 42c | 59.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 153 | 51.6%79 W · 74 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked SPARTA | 60c | 58.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked AM Gaming | 42c | 58.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.62 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed SPARTA | 59c | 57.53$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed AM Gaming | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed SPARTA | 41c | 55.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed SPARTA | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed SPARTA | 42c | 55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed SPARTA | 42c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.32 | 75 | 53.3%40 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed AM Gaming | 41c | 53.42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 53.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb676…2dbbbacked SPARTA | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed AM Gaming | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b7…c24abacked SPARTA | 59c | 48.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed SPARTA | 42c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed SPARTA | 50c | 38.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed AM Gaming | 45c | 38.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc007…a0edbacked AM Gaming | 47c | 37.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 205 | 44.4%91 W · 114 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1e…2a7dbacked AM Gaming | 49c | 36.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa03c…f557backed SPARTA | 58c | 35.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…96f4backed SPARTA | 42c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked SPARTA | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 662 | 48.6%322 W · 340 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…fd63backed SPARTA | 73c | 29.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 172 | 57.6%99 W · 73 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked AM Gaming | 59c | 25.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.97 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed SPARTA | 70c | 22.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 590 | 49.7%293 W · 297 L | -31.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed SPARTA | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.