MLB · resolved market
Rockies vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x358d0d886c8fbc1b6baf3baebeaf5f4accc451d0ce9b1356836095d4c92b8a7f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Giantsof Rockies, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,038
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,038 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Giants | 73c | 13,002$9,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,526.64 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies | 27c | 6,844$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.28 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Giants | 77c | 4,737$3,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.02 | 213 | 56.3%120 W · 93 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rockies | 27c | 3,148$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.73 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Rockies | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 25c | 2,429$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.57 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 28c | 2,020$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.47 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Rockies | 65c | 1,199$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.4 | 193 | 56.5%109 W · 84 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockies | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockies | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Rockies | 27c | 958$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.66 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 71c | 905.57$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.62 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies | 21c | 892.48$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.42 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…8687backed Rockies | 56c | 889.13$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Giants | 71c | 600$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.67 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Giants | 71c | 595.23$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.62 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Giants | 72c | 587.73$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.56 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Rockies | 29c | 403.06$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.89 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Rockies | 27c | 307$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Giants | 73c | 280$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 42c | 228.72$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Giants | 69c | 217.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.39 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Giants | 72c | 180$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Giants | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Giants | 72c | 102$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Giants | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c7…f049backed Giants | 73c | 98.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Rockies | 29c | 98.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Rockies | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Rockies | 29c | 77.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 41c | 74.8$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Giants | 73c | 64.11$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bf…baecbacked Giants | 72c | 57.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Giants | 72c | 57.08$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Rockies | 57c | 54.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Giants | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Giants | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Giants | 73c | 17.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Giants | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…9931backed Giants | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Giants | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Giants | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.