La Liga · resolved market
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35a7b735a246931c37afecae74f4f696e4b58f4cabc8937e0ee4c69a1930f695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,577 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 2c | 23,085$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.46 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 25c | 2,080$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.97 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 43c | 951.02$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.48 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 43c | 887.38$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.57 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 9c | 490.89$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 57c | 301.82$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.4 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Yes | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…56acbacked Yes | 57c | 296.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 57c | 250$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.5 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 10c | 248.4$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 5c | 243$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 201 | 48.8%98 W · 103 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 55c | 214.64$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.59 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed No | 5c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 14c | 198.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 58c | 121.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.01 | 113 | 50.4%57 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 19c | 93.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…6484backed Yes | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9541…7f67backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 43c | 60.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 56c | 57.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 45c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 270 | 55.2%149 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 41c | 31.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed Yes | 53c | 28.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 49c | 24.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Málaga CF win on 2026-03-15?this page
- Will Málaga CF vs. SD Huesca end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-03-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.