La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35f173dcf31906623a4bb93229c4791446705a96c34555d5ddde88ccf2038990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,544
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,544 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe275…d3f4backed Over | 73c | 639.45$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 320.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.59 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 218.01$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 13c | 172$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 69c | 136.2$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.22 | 175 | 62.9%110 W · 65 L | +32.1wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 35c | 128.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.56 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 79c | 126.95$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 70 | 72.9%51 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 27c | 107.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 104.79$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Under | 21c | 97.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 19c | 54.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Over | 64c | 45.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…32bcbacked Over | 62c | 45.16$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 36c | 34.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 57c | 23.21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Real Zaragoza won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.