La Liga · resolved market
Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x462bddd8c707b1916c65c9fbd53911117c92d2d7303d44f752f8d88f5974e147
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Zaragozaof UD Las Palmas, Real Zaragoza
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,930
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,930 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Real Zaragoza | 55c | 6,758$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040.98 | 988 | 33.4%330 W · 658 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked UD Las Palmas | 47c | 3,383$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed UD Las Palmas | 45c | 2,000$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.49 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Real Zaragoza | 55c | 1,484$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.76 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee19…555ebacked UD Las Palmas | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UD Las Palmas | 39c | 911.61$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.59 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 900$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 1,169 | 51.8%606 W · 563 L | +18.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 655.95$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.82 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed UD Las Palmas | 40c | 608.56$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.33 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Zaragoza | 55c | 589.16$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.18 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Real Zaragoza | 55c | 465$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.25 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Real Zaragoza | 52c | 395.09$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.25 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed UD Las Palmas | 38c | 379$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Zaragoza | 56c | 279.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.46 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Zaragoza | 65c | 239$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.83 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked UD Las Palmas | 39c | 144.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d9…1059backed UD Las Palmas | 41c | 122.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 111$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Real Zaragoza | 55c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.24 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked UD Las Palmas | 39c | 83.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed UD Las Palmas | 44c | 72.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…96cfbacked UD Las Palmas | 42c | 67.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UD Las Palmas | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 186 | 53.8%100 W · 86 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e2…4a97backed UD Las Palmas | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed UD Las Palmas | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked UD Las Palmas | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Real Zaragoza | 58c | 32.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 141 | 46.8%66 W · 75 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked UD Las Palmas | 39c | 26.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Real Zaragoza | 64c | 20.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)this page
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.