La Liga · resolved market
UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b537411ab6c63928b7a242887def0d927b81e7b66675d3699dcb9f7da480fb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,755
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,285
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,755 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 7,843$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.36 | 3,546 | 42.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L | +28.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 48c | 1,363$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.01 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 60c | 477.65$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.56 | 931 | 45.4%423 W · 508 L | -30.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Over | 32c | 299.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Under | 47c | 226.15$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.86 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 68c | 200.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 905 | 43.4%393 W · 512 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 31c | 182.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.6 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 57c | 105$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 66c | 93.54$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 67c | 89.01$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.01 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 49c | 79.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 192 | 58.9%113 W · 79 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 45c | 64.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1,669 | 43.8%731 W · 938 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 63c | 58.77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…e00fbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 48.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 2,381 | 48.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a6…aed7backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…1565backed Under | 67c | 37.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf18…af99backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 274 | 55.1%151 W · 123 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf0…72cebacked Over | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 44c | 30.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 1,087 | 50.6%550 W · 537 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2912…6817backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Over | 53c | 27.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…23c5backed Over | 56c | 26.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 26.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4,846 | 47%2,279 W · 2,567 L | -17.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 56c | 26.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | -16.2wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: UD Las Palmas (-1.5)Real Zaragoza won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 0.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 1.5Over won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 3.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 4.5Under won
- UD Las Palmas vs. Real Zaragoza: O/U 5.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.