Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3601d36d21b3545b43563260543079770bcc9de0dfbdfcbc60edfe043c8d74c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,971
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,971 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 29c | 14,444$4,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,206.56 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 75c | 10,710$8,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,080.83 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 79c | 7,439$5,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,860.45 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f7…5541backed No | 23c | 5,118$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920.4 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…e900backed No | 33c | 3,667$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.69 | 364 | 37.1%135 W · 229 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…bd47backed Yes | 3c | 1,678$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 34c | 1,511$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.34 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 24c | 1,295$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.59 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 23c | 950$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.5 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x411d…a0b1backed Yes | 60c | 841.23$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.74 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d07…a067backed Yes | 79c | 814.74$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 25c | 811.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 23c | 600$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 22c | 575.32$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.98 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 23c | 524$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.59 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9918…2255backed Yes | 80c | 406.33$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 155 | 31%48 W · 107 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 18c | 393.35$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.83 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…3528backed Yes | 70c | 355.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 53c | 263.34$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.44 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26b5…6a16backed Yes | 77c | 261.17$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.1 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 23c | 259.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.72 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 68c | 256.65$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 75c | 193.26$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 22c | 192.6$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.23 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 34c | 190.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.59 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6591…9cd0backed Yes | 78c | 163$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.14 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0197…cf7fbacked Yes | 69c | 150$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe63…5b56backed Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…dc3ebacked Yes | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238c…4399backed Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 76c | 101.32$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0720backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd661…3ac0backed Yes | 47c | 75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1134…572abacked Yes | 80c | 74.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 104 | 16.3%17 W · 87 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…eb43backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7711…2efcbacked Yes | 75c | 66.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ac…097fbacked Yes | 74c | 54.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed No | 29c | 53.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 254 | 54.7%139 W · 115 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf460…b2adbacked Yes | 61c | 52.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec2…cb66backed Yes | 65c | 45.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Yes | 56c | 42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecb…87ddbacked Yes | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f48…8275backed Yes | 74c | 38.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.23 | 133 | 64.7%86 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00da…a87ebacked Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…8948backed Yes | 36c | 29.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…53a0backed Yes | 68c | 29.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…0dbdbacked Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x956b…7eb1backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7f…086abacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed Yes | 75c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38cc…8210backed Yes | 80c | 20.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.37per pick | 77cpaid | -46%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81dd…bd8fbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 79c | 18.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…fcaabacked Yes | 79c | 17.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…9afcbacked Yes | 79c | 16.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…38a2backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil to win the second half?this page
- Brazil vs. Haiti: Second half draw?Yes won
- Haiti to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.