TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

FC Cincinnati vs. Chicago Fire FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No34c347.22$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.63,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes70c146.95$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.697074.3%52 W · 18 L+9.4wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+39%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes64c110.6$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6696756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes80c95$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.330444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed No38c69.05$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9923350.6%118 W · 115 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x612e…d36ebacked No48c68.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33a2…085cbacked No49c68.39$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…373ebacked No48c67.81$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65bd…fdc1backed No49c67.61$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No37c67.34$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x168b…e8b8backed No49c66.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe891…70e5backed No49c65.95$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…6ebfbacked No49c65.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.21475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+50%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22e9…6c71backed No49c65.6$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf01…92fabacked No50c65.52$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x218a…181bbacked No48c65.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0240…3862backed No49c65.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.02250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4078…20e7backed No49c65.18$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef5…e610backed No48c65.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdd2…1c9cbacked No49c64.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781b…9c30backed No49c64.84$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc83…bbc4backed No49c64.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0214…13f3backed No49c64.79$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa95…0817backed No50c64.73$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bf8…e8e8backed No49c64.63$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b15…2fb8backed No49c64.58$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.64250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x672f…5be1backed No49c64.57$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…6b73backed No49c64.47$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc10…818abacked No49c64.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x187f…e03bbacked No49c64.39$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.55250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x025a…1a76backed No50c64.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ca…9009backed No49c64.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc7c…6004backed No49c64.07$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ca…a0bbbacked No50c63.91$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f20…e082backed No49c63.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5629…3ea5backed No49c63.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce9b…4233backed No49c63.66$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a0b…72e4backed No49c63.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…bee2backed No49c63.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc962…b3d9backed No49c63.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f5a…c43cbacked No49c63.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd110…de23backed No49c63.33$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd12…9a22backed No49c63.26$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50db…1d65backed No49c63.18$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.96250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfe7…fc32backed No49c63.11$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6d…f3bdbacked No49c63.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe660…6a28backed No49c63.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e74…c002backed No49c63.01$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.87450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa206…536bbacked No50c62.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ec7…35f7backed No49c62.95$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x364c…98efbacked No49c62.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x731d…a066backed No49c62.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc71…f26abacked No49c62.94$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18b9…b250backed No49c62.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d3…ef59backed No49c62.91$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2acb…b682backed No49c62.85$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…95f9backed No49c62.77$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c3…0093backed No49c62.75$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2594…3f33backed No49c62.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1c9…5bb8backed No49c62.73$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc1d…b797backed No50c62.71$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fda…6b1abacked No49c62.68$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed0…5c50backed No49c62.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e3…4e41backed No49c62.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeae7…7796backed No49c62.61$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf337…980dbacked No49c62.57$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5ba…5b8fbacked No49c62.56$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742e…5221backed No49c62.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.6410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…606fbacked No49c62.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0d5…faf5backed No49c62.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd61…cd69backed No49c62.31$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a4a…36b7backed No49c62.24$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x256d…026dbacked No49c62.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83f3…e609backed No49c62.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fc…0b94backed No49c62.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.41366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4d4…45cbbacked No49c61.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4edd…20cbbacked No49c61.72$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f38…bdbbbacked No50c61.58$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e48…598ebacked No49c61.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.14250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb871…d40fbacked No49c61.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31f4…8025backed No48c61.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ae…dbe2backed No49c61.37$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+29.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9ff…f4fbbacked No50c61.3$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce2…33c6backed No49c61.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20f5…7baabacked No49c61.25$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadf3…a6d4backed No50c61.04$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+51%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0dd…dcbcbacked No49c60.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb4a…a880backed No48c60.81$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a5d…d649backed No49c60.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.79250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb169…391dbacked No48c60.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ae…d12ebacked No49c60.68$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8461…16e5backed No49c60.66$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.72250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9de0…bcb4backed No50c60.09$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9764…7fe5backed No49c59.89$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2c…00acbacked No49c59.8$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d26…0759backed No49c59.52$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x497f…d724backed No49c59.45$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03dc…466cbacked No49c59.14$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x535e…201fbacked No49c58.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fb3…6c6fbacked No49c58.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.