CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36f024e3c337151da270be8a25c5f2eeec736233e64f22eebe71a2e62c98c5e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALKAof Game Hunters, ALKA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ALKA | 67c | 2,205$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.39 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Game Hunters | 43c | 1,123$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.61 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Game Hunters | 28c | 937.13$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.49 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALKA | 57c | 556.93$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.54 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed ALKA | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Game Hunters | 24c | 298$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Game Hunters | 44c | 242.32$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALKA | 62c | 241.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.95 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Game Hunters | 36c | 224$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.64 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…262dbacked Game Hunters | 49c | 204.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Game Hunters | 42c | 170.83$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Game Hunters | 34c | 168.58$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.32 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Game Hunters | 41c | 151.88$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Game Hunters | 13c | 145.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed Game Hunters | 22c | 130.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Game Hunters | 49c | 127.84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.46 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…cde0backed ALKA | 69c | 125$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Game Hunters | 35c | 119.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.41 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Game Hunters | 38c | 102$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.66 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked ALKA | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ALKA | 55c | 95.68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Game Hunters | 62c | 86.54$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 489 | 48.9%239 W · 250 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed ALKA | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…9d16backed ALKA | 70c | 82.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b1…63ecbacked Game Hunters | 33c | 80.59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 216 | 23.6%51 W · 165 L | -27.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Game Hunters | 68c | 79.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.55 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed ALKA | 59c | 71.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.62 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Game Hunters | 37c | 70.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Game Hunters | 22c | 59.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.03 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed ALKA | 69c | 57.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Game Hunters | 30c | 45.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ALKA | 68c | 44.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Game Hunters | 30c | 43.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Game Hunters | 32c | 43.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Game Hunters | 53c | 35.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ALKA | 61c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed ALKA | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 4 Group StageGame Hunters won
- Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerGame Hunters won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.