Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x370f8079129106113af8cd29f7e06fa0243c35c1e11efe25cf093dcd8b9a56be
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Urawa Red Diamondsof Gamba Ōsaka, Urawa Red Diamonds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Gamba Ōsaka | 28c | 7,343$2,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,055.82 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 71c | 5,586$3,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645.91 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 77c | 963.95$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.51 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Gamba Ōsaka | 33c | 689.46$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 302.96$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 71c | 298.93$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 71c | 174.26$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.73 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Gamba Ōsaka | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 50c | 133$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Gamba Ōsaka | 19c | 124$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.56 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 71c | 112.18$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.54 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Gamba Ōsaka | 51c | 99.98$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Gamba Ōsaka | 15c | 95.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Gamba Ōsaka | 49c | 78.55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 70c | 76.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35f9…12a6backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 53c | 72$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.84 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +5.6wins | +0.40per pick | 53cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 64.54$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 71c | 60.8$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 49c | 52.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Gamba Ōsaka | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Gamba Ōsaka | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 61c | 44.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Gamba Ōsaka | 44c | 44.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 168 | 58.3%98 W · 70 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 41.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Gamba Ōsaka | 35c | 35.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | +9.7wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 65c | 35.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Gamba Ōsaka | 40c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 66c | 32.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 27.35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 66c | 21.71$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 17.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Urawa Red Diamonds | 72c | 16.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)this page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.