Asian League · resolved market
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45adcc274fbed30d58b968b1bca8c99233e9ebbd4fa700433bfe1a175f90ce7c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 66c | 11,452$7,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.56 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 26c | 7,257$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,396.1 | 151 | 19.2%29 W · 122 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 66c | 6,109$4,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,033.6 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 34c | 4,405$1,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,478.07 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Under | 44c | 2,701$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.42 | 193 | 40.9%79 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 39c | 2,618$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600.7 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…b3aabacked Under | 46c | 2,554$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.45 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 2,171$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d4…23e8backed Under | 48c | 732.51$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.11 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Under | 6c | 709.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.87 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 24c | 481.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.46 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Under | 6c | 480.76$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +51%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bc…fccabacked Under | 6c | 435$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 26c | 424.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.09 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 52c | 410$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.85 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 74c | 409.04$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.69 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Under | 74c | 278$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.72 | 294 | 32%94 W · 200 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 63c | 263.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 9c | 249.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 75c | 225.33$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 19c | 209.68$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Over | 78c | 191.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 28c | 180$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 25c | 163.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.09 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 64c | 136.46$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 45c | 119.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Under | 38c | 118.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 43c | 114.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 70c | 105.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…5b51backed Under | 49c | 105.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 11c | 102$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 48c | 87.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.94 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Under | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 64c | 87.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92d6…4bfbbacked Over | 80c | 81.25$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 43c | 79.85$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Under | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 42c | 76.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.38 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ecf…75d2backed Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Under | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 75c | 59.86$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8b…37e0backed Under | 75c | 53.2$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 74cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d0…2fefbacked Over | 80c | 51.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 41c | 50.69$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…04fcbacked Under | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 74c | 49.03$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 43c | 42.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Under | 43c | 41.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 75c | 41.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +15.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 53c | 39.11$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 53c | 36.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 49c | 25.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 78cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5this page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.