Asian League · resolved market
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4b8e01f149f779a175bfddc136754e9101f93b0f5cffd5582385f8b7e058406
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,389
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 48c | 6,872$3,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.8 | 121 | 39.7%48 W · 73 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9805…a997backed Under | 54c | 2,120$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…1444backed Under | 54c | 2,052$1,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed Over | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 182 | 53.3%97 W · 85 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,350$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.75 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 1,153$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.03 | 165 | 41.2%68 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 62c | 977.76$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.82 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 46c | 898.72$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.62 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 46c | 788$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 783.02$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.8 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb809…2004backed Over | 45c | 709.91$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.45 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 44c | 694.51$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.21 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 46c | 625$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 588.92$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.6 | 2,397 | 37.8%905 W · 1,492 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Over | 43c | 550$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.5 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a96…e734backed Under | 55c | 452.55$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…edbdbacked Over | 46c | 416.66$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 46c | 379.47$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.91 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d17…5297backed Under | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…9615backed Over | 46c | 354.84$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.61 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac6…db45backed Over | 44c | 340.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 46c | 327.34$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.4 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 46c | 325.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.07 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 46c | 208.33$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed Over | 47c | 206.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.59 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 46c | 133.98$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 44c | 125$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…d35bbacked Under | 54c | 123.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…9d1cbacked Over | 46c | 108.69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 46c | 104.16$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 46c | 104$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 1,959 | 54.6%1,069 W · 890 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 73c | 102.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 279 | 64.9%181 W · 98 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe4…70c1backed Over | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…79d3backed Under | 53c | 99.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…4f9dbacked Over | 51c | 93.88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.57 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…7ab7backed Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…7593backed Over | 46c | 87.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 62c | 81.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 55c | 78.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.05 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed Under | 53c | 69.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Over | 59c | 57.09$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.63 | 237 | 61.6%146 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d2…55f7backed Under | 55c | 54.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 62c | 54.15$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f1…5b7fbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9772…6700backed Over | 44c | 50.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 49c | 50.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 434 | 52.1%226 W · 208 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 44c | 48.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 60c | 44.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 46c | 42.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…1bd8backed Over | 46c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366f…f952backed Over | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 46c | 41.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 54c | 36.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 313 | 59.7%187 W · 126 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 69c | 36.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 46c | 35.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 344 | 47.4%163 W · 181 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…93cebacked Over | 47c | 32.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a5…3da0backed Under | 55c | 28.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ea…15cbbacked Over | 46c | 27.72$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 58c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 58c | 27.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Over | 62c | 24.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 79 | 73.4%58 W · 21 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Over | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd42…05a7backed Over | 49c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 59c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 2.5this page
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 0.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 3.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 4.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: O/U 5.5Over won
- Gamba Ōsaka vs. Urawa Red Diamonds: Urawa Red Diamonds 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-1.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Gamba Ōsaka (-2.5)Urawa Red Diamonds won
- Spread: Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)Gamba Ōsaka won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.