Tennis · resolved market
ITF Champaign: Karim Bennani vs Jerry Roddick
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x376025eaad19d2fce6e9ad791c9ce8567cb3233e2585abba10e33c5b03af151f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karim Bennaniof Karim Bennani, Jerry Roddick
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Jerry Roddick | 15c | 26,246$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.49 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Karim Bennani | 67c | 717.91$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.91 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jerry Roddick | 27c | 535.97$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.35 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed Karim Bennani | 67c | 454.19$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Karim Bennani | 51c | 421.88$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.72 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Karim Bennani | 45c | 420.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Karim Bennani | 79c | 285.72$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Jerry Roddick | 36c | 251.64$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e38bbacked Karim Bennani | 67c | 227.36$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.03 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Karim Bennani | 57c | 210.43$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jerry Roddick | 38c | 166$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Jerry Roddick | 27c | 91.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Jerry Roddick | 50c | 90.48$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Jerry Roddick | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Jerry Roddick | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Jerry Roddick | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Karim Bennani | 32c | 61.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Jerry Roddick | 32c | 59.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Jerry Roddick | 32c | 57.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Karim Bennani | 70c | 57.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.33 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…7843backed Jerry Roddick | 29c | 50.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Jerry Roddick | 55c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Karim Bennani | 73c | 47.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 241 | 59.3%143 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Jerry Roddick | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Jerry Roddick | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Jerry Roddick | 32c | 35.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Karim Bennani | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Karim Bennani | 75c | 31.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Jerry Roddick | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Jerry Roddick | 38c | 28.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Karim Bennani | 78c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jerry Roddick | 70c | 16.16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Karim Bennani | 73c | 13.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.74 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.