Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3779313b98f99106ad59180f32d0b7be2d9f8bb5e7d7ab9fa0b674d503302ac4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,056
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,056 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 25c | 1,584$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 74c | 1,334$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.42 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 1,325$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.41 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 23c | 619.21$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.95 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 22c | 612.74$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.75 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Over | 77c | 493.1$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 360.37$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 22c | 309.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 26c | 303.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 35c | 244.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.67 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 98.26$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 69c | 75.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 77c | 63.75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 79c | 48.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 79c | 48.83$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 70c | 41.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 71c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 75c | 39.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 79c | 38.79$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 79c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…8568backed Over | 76c | 19.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 77c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.54 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 80c | 14.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.81 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 78c | 12.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.