Asian League · resolved market
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabe09a30472f43d4663e56d0b9669d20ee4417d3a8217b8679ad6fcf71610271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 47c | 1,955$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.19 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x46cf…42eabacked Over | 56c | 1,888$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…9312backed Under | 44c | 1,264$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 1,103$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.68 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 48c | 1,041$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.31 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 1,034$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.82 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8c…6a99backed Over | 51c | 1,007$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Over | 52c | 999.98$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.99 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 43c | 802.92$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.79 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over | 51c | 800$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Over | 53c | 762.68$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.29 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Over | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 53c | 450.55$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.44 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 48c | 438.92$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.28 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 42c | 397.84$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.27 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under | 48c | 387.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.01 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Under | 47c | 369.37$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.84 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 40c | 299.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.99 | 174 | 40.2%70 W · 104 L | -12.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed Under | 49c | 290.85$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.52 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 61c | 230.99$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.09 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x374a…03edbacked Under | 48c | 212.86$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.18 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b39…65adbacked Over | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc621…7c5cbacked Under | 42c | 195.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.04 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 55c | 194.6$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.57 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 183.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.5 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over | 80c | 173.5$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06c2…184fbacked Over | 32c | 165.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 39c | 147.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 49c | 137.53$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.19 | 404 | 48%194 W · 210 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 127.66$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Over | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 96.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.12 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 60c | 81.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.53 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 71c | 67.05$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f81…2bb7backed Under | 50c | 64.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 60c | 63.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.52 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 45c | 60.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 26c | 56.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 99 | 26.3%26 W · 73 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 56.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a39…1a00backed Under | 39c | 55.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 48c | 48.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 69c | 47.59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 44.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…f081backed Under | 60c | 43.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 50c | 39.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.51 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 44c | 38.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Over | 51c | 37.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 55c | 35.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 51c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.19 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 65c | 30.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -9.0wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…c9a8backed Over | 50c | 29.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 29.55$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 40c | 27.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Over | 58c | 25.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 43c | 23.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 49c | 21.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 54c | 21.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 50c | 20.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Hazem SC vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Hazem SC (-1.5)Al Riyadh Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Hazem SC won
- Spread: Al Riyadh Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Hazem SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.