Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Jesper de Jong
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37b7e5fb4a21a7687fc5ed56723d03ad63e4812c8ae419c0f6553285929b0467
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jongof Zhou, Jong
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,679
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,679 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Zhou | 38c | 2,251$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.41 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zhou | 55c | 1,980$1,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.63 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ce…ddd7backed Jong | 23c | 1,006$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Jong | 58c | 600$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jong | 40c | 537.88$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.97 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Jong | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Zhou | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Zhou | 63c | 457.54$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.27 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed Jong | 61c | 444$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Zhou | 50c | 431$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.5 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jong | 60c | 270$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Jong | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 253 | 42.7%108 W · 145 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Jong | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Zhou | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Jong | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Jong | 63c | 158.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf671…3dd7backed Jong | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 84 | 59.5%50 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe05e…1ab8backed Jong | 61c | 142.62$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Jong | 68c | 120$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.27 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Jong | 67c | 101.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Jong | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Zhou | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Zhou | 51c | 75.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…ff34backed Jong | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 121 | 34.7%42 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Zhou | 55c | 64.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed Zhou | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Zhou | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1e…230abacked Zhou | 28c | 45.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 318 | 19.2%61 W · 257 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Jong | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb78d…1d48backed Zhou | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Jong | 64c | 27.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 282 | 41.8%118 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zhou | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.