Fifa International · resolved market
Scotland vs. Brazil: Second half draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37bb5d23a1e2e92672d6e31e05e0cb4dcfd26aa7c6474583618becb7fbbb4e61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 76c | 2,061$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.22 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 30c | 1,953$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 773.22$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yes | 37c | 558$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 6c | 531$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.06 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yes | 30c | 385.87$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.91 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 335.54$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Yes | 30c | 275$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.92 | 415 | 51.8%215 W · 200 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 70c | 215$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yes | 29c | 174.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Yes | 29c | 172.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 70c | 105.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Yes | 27c | 85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 75c | 60.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Yes | 32c | 54.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe050…ed54backed Yes | 19c | 52.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Yes | 29c | 41.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 264 | 49.2%130 W · 134 L | +10.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 245 | 41.2%101 W · 144 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Yes | 30c | 37.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 66c | 22.63$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 70c | 16.93$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 70c | 15.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Scotland vs. Brazil: Second half draw?this page
- Brazil to win the second half?Yes won
- Scotland to win the second half?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.