TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Brazil to win the second half?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$119,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,449

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes56c47,701$26,485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,216.624,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed No46c37,062$16,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,899.9453448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked No45c31,943$14,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,237.5158049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60d0…2e36backed Yes55c11,364$6,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.786564.6%42 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c11,285$6,435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,849.92,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63ad…790cbacked No39c5,631$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.44837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…d7b4backed No45c4,739$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.6719345.1%87 W · 106 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c4,618$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,140.212,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes61c3,868$2,377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,490.838,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked No38c2,457$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$933.5116357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes59c2,285$1,351 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.532,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a4…6ed6backed Yes54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.855738.6%22 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Yes53c1,626$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.113738.7%53 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes62c1,618$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.1832429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7ac…f764backed Yes53c1,617$857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$760.146543.1%28 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes51c1,370$699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.126134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed No49c1,365$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$668.7641331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed No40c1,300$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52612853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed No46c1,039$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.9736350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed No41c999.99$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41019545.6%89 W · 106 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No20c909.16$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.642,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes53c873$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.7634964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes60c808.94$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.252,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes59c778$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.612,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed No39c640.25$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8317629%51 W · 125 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed No44c617.78$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.634533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc435…2494backed Yes54c414.54$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.763852.6%20 W · 18 L+5.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6bc6…6163backed Yes59c390.2$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.98944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf170…d9eabacked Yes60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.333933.3%13 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No35c303.05$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.072,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No10c293.11$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3164850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No7c290$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.446047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…3c36backed Yes57c262.08$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.088534.1%29 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick34cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929d…2834backed Yes62c225.18$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.574663%29 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Yes65c224.43$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.432927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Yes62c210$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.815252.6%80 W · 72 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc718…0a64backed Yes55c199.94$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9712254.1%66 W · 56 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No38c197.4$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.011,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe050…ed54backed Yes53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.683040%12 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed No40c180.57$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3661752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Yes56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5729141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked No39c172.8$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.392,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed No40c158$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9914949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked No38c109.99$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.815246.7%71 W · 81 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f7…2bfabacked Yes59c105$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0514030.7%43 W · 97 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed No40c94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5832639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Yes54c92.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5128535.8%102 W · 183 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c31…0289backed Yes53c88.7$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+28.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a51…9c22backed Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334852.1%25 W · 23 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+32.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No42c68.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.853,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x901d…507abacked Yes56c67.55$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.725565.5%36 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b89…87babacked Yes60c66.32$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3210342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb223…3772backed No49c58.54$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4215550.3%78 W · 77 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No38c56.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.393,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x109e…cc98backed Yes54c55.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.633557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc775…9ba1backed Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.561050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c9e…f49ebacked Yes54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5610547.6%50 W · 55 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes61c55.24$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.311,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7736…877dbacked Yes53c54.4$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.47100%7 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+112%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xad58…3773backed Yes56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.579439.4%37 W · 57 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd339…c54fbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.631442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick60cpaid-37.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.524541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe50e…45c5backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.532959.6%196 W · 133 L+21.3wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9ffb…2581backed Yes58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95ed…41dbbacked Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.173540%14 W · 21 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…a409backed Yes53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1710357.3%59 W · 44 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed No39c42.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3715042%63 W · 87 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Yes53c42.3$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8817460.3%105 W · 69 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc8aa…8055backed Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.32683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf46f…0e0fbacked Yes62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3216262.3%101 W · 61 L+10.9wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No40c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes56c39.26$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.382,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Yes55c38$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.117460.3%105 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3652441.4%217 W · 307 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a13…588fbacked Yes53c35.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.857948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb35c…f2c1backed Yes58c34.52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.521855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc64f…ad00backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.912958.9%76 W · 53 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe763…149abacked Yes61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.798946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8122…4af7backed Yes62c32.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.421050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x65ec…bad3backed Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.264252.4%22 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…33debacked Yes62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-43.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bc…7714backed No39c30.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-28%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1d…ad56backed Yes53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77eb…efeebacked Yes52c21.22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.22666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Yes60c20.77$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3123443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.