CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3813ed44c7aa84b3f0a6637b2b546f6988fcb06ce26e0fb139c72590a6e5c041
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vocaof regain, Voca
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,010
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,010 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc28f…6193backed Voca | 71c | 1,713$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.93 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked regain | 29c | 1,129$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.35 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Voca | 73c | 1,027$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.18 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked regain | 27c | 859.16$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.96 | 253 | 44.3%112 W · 141 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked regain | 19c | 840.77$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.87 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…6e9dbacked Voca | 72c | 732.78$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.92 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -10.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked regain | 21c | 672.69$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.35 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed regain | 29c | 588.7$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.34 | 408 | 39.2%160 W · 248 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Voca | 77c | 533.68$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.76 | 182 | 59.9%109 W · 73 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked regain | 30c | 265$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 531 | 35%186 W · 345 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked regain | 24c | 253.23$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.02 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked regain | 25c | 246$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.5 | 434 | 37.6%163 W · 271 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Voca | 74c | 223.71$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.71 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed regain | 28c | 175.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked Voca | 71c | 150.5$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked regain | 24c | 146$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked regain | 24c | 140$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Voca | 74c | 127.24$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.6 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed regain | 23c | 126.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed regain | 24c | 112.64$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.9 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked regain | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.49 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cc…893cbacked regain | 21c | 99.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 393 | 42.5%167 W · 226 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked regain | 26c | 95.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Voca | 71c | 80.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed regain | 30c | 77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab6…4880backed regain | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 593 | 54.8%325 W · 268 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3320…c9e7backed Voca | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked regain | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked regain | 29c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Voca | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Voca | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed regain | 25c | 49.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed regain | 25c | 40.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Voca | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Voca | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,530 | 34.6%876 W · 1,654 L | -193.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Voca | 74c | 19.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Voca | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Voca | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 224 | 50.9%114 W · 110 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries North American Qualifier PlayoffsVoca won
- Counter-Strike: regain vs Voca - Map 2 WinnerVoca won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Voca won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Voca (-3.5) vs regain (+3.5)Voca won
- Map Handicap: VOCA (-1.5) vs regain (+1.5)Voca won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.