Cricket · resolved market
T20 European Cup: Romania vs France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3841365f85ad39f7be823c40ae68e40d864b1d9b263502796353de090e25121f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Romaniaof Romania, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,323
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b92…4f18backed France | 58c | 249.64$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked France | 12c | 180.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked France | 26c | 145.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked Romania | 49c | 127.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed Romania | 56c | 125$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked France | 38c | 114.04$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3aca…5d2bbacked France | 49c | 81.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Romania | 41c | 79.77$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.01 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked France | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Romania | 60c | 60.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked France | 32c | 53.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 639 | 46.5%297 W · 342 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9d…2ee4backed Romania | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…2365backed Romania | 55c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed France | 52c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked France | 53c | 39.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed France | 38c | 38.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 271 | 29.5%80 W · 191 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Romania | 43c | 37.33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed France | 56c | 35.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Romania | 66c | 33.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Romania | 54c | 33.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 427 | 47.8%204 W · 223 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked France | 63c | 31.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Romania | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…19f4backed France | 69c | 23.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed France | 51c | 20.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.