Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Richmond Spiders vs. St. Bonaventure Bonnies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a9c63c1991fb5dc48aacd19855b80edd3be8102eaf5beca8fd7e346167325e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Richmond Spidersof Richmond Spiders, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,121
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,634
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,121 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Richmond Spiders | 61c | 2,609$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 46c | 2,188$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.48 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 9c | 1,373$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Richmond Spiders | 55c | 1,067$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.93 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 27c | 897.92$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 19c | 827.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.81 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 43c | 234.99$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 24c | 220.15$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.89 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Richmond Spiders | 68c | 183.96$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.53 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 61c | 160.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216f…9b1ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 69c | 154$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.26 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a45…41f6backed Richmond Spiders | 30c | 131.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.48 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders | 32c | 89$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Richmond Spiders | 68c | 86.26$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Richmond Spiders | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda03…7f8cbacked Richmond Spiders | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +5.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 42c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed Richmond Spiders | 31c | 43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.67 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Richmond Spiders | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…d82dbacked Richmond Spiders | 31c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 65c | 36.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 35c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 56c | 33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d08…9e8dbacked St. Bonaventure Bonnies | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.