Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Youngstown State Penguins vs. Green Bay Phoenix
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x395f095fab99ec50e80a28c1572a3ca8a089a51480b06a93a65abf8a65188079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Youngstown State Penguins, Green Bay Phoenix
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,654
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,654 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Green Bay Phoenix | 69c | 2,002$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.66 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Green Bay Phoenix | 65c | 1,459$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.16 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 37c | 1,358$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.8 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 25c | 743.44$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.87 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Youngstown State Penguins | 34c | 638.15$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.8 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 557.09$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.7 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Green Bay Phoenix | 70c | 514.72$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.39 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 78c | 457$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Green Bay Phoenix | 74c | 381.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 48c | 370.95$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.06 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 73c | 328.25$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.87 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Youngstown State Penguins | 46c | 297.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.8 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 297.38$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.74 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 265.29$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.73 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…52f4backed Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 252.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Green Bay Phoenix | 53c | 220.5$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Youngstown State Penguins | 24c | 180.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.43 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 143.41$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.27 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 49c | 99.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Youngstown State Penguins | 14c | 98.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 79c | 77.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 60.07$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.63 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Green Bay Phoenix | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Youngstown State Penguins | 46c | 43.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce7…7cfabacked Youngstown State Penguins | 47c | 35.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Youngstown State Penguins | 47c | 34.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Youngstown State Penguins | 32c | 34.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…de47backed Youngstown State Penguins | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Green Bay Phoenix | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 44c | 22.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Green Bay Phoenix | 52c | 22.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Green Bay Phoenixthis page
- Spread: Green Bay Phoenix (-1.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
- Youngstown State Penguins vs. Green Bay Phoenix: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.