Other European Leagues · resolved market
Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a3e8a2b560e2797af4db18692d1ae9481f947e359c4b61aec4a213d3fe9e63e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 26c | 1,199$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 80c | 1,078$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.4 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 24c | 823.4$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.85 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 76c | 451$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Over | 23c | 305.58$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.83 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4371…4fd9backed Under | 76c | 262.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Under | 77c | 227.27$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.27 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeec1…29dcbacked Under | 75c | 223.4$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Under | 77c | 206.21$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 168.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 24c | 111.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59cf…71dabacked Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -43%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 13c | 92.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eef…367fbacked Under | 78c | 26.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…501bbacked Under | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc7…55f6backed Under | 75c | 22.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 4.5this page
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Beşiktaş JK vs. Kayserispor: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.