South American Leagues · resolved market
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a4162db4b4956a9379892cecb5b3941e52fadfc2bfa0cc3c82b6467bab2fece
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,360
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 4,568$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 55c | 4,547$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.97 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 66c | 3,657$2,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,243.44 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 42c | 3,428$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.97 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 22c | 1,202$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.86 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…50d1backed Under | 31c | 1,025$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.45 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 1,000$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.14 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 213 | 66.7%142 W · 71 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Over | 78c | 552.94$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 442.05$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.38 | 289 | 40.1%116 W · 173 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bda…d4a0backed Over | 66c | 300$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.2 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 28c | 289.3$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.52 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Over | 34c | 217$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 194 | 37.1%72 W · 122 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…7cc7backed Under | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…1cb2backed Over | 35c | 158.79$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 66c | 141.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 65c | 138.94$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.11 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Over | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Under | 65c | 120.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 66c | 119.98$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.83 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 78c | 114$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 180 | 50%90 W · 90 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 54c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 73c | 63.71$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 68c | 62.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 194 | 47.9%93 W · 101 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 44.88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 57c | 42.2$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 193 | 49.2%95 W · 98 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 79c | 37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 491 | 36.3%178 W · 313 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 78c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…6600backed Over | 55c | 34.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 40c | 28.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 311 | 36.7%114 W · 197 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 43c | 28.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 46c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Under | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 62c | 19.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Over | 74c | 18.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 160 | 51.3%82 W · 78 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 75c | 15.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 68c | 14.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 0.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: Pumas de la UNAM O/U 1.5Under won
- Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: Querétaro FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-1.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Pumas de la UNAM (-2.5)Querétaro FC won
- Spread: Querétaro FC (-1.5)Pumas de la UNAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.