TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Pumas de la UNAM vs. Querétaro FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,010
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,010 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4488…e319backed Under45c3,000$1,350 inWon+$1,649.9934747.6%165 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over44c2,661$1,180 inLost-$1,179.8975240.8%307 W · 445 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over55c2,562$1,409 inLost-$1,409.149136.3%178 W · 313 L-2.2wins0.00per pick37cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Under46c648.8$301 inWon+$348.1335240.3%142 W · 210 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-23.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over55c483.81$266 inLost-$266.166837.1%248 W · 420 L+0.8wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under64c373.91$240 inWon+$133.718,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked Under59c338.98$200 inWon+$139.0316051.3%82 W · 78 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c223.54$36 inLost-$35.815,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over12c189.45$23 inLost-$23.012,17043.7%948 W · 1,222 L-53.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Under46c156$72 inWon+$84.247445.9%34 W · 40 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+32.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over28c131.05$36 inLost-$36.1725635.9%92 W · 164 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-23.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f03…8a0dbacked Under45c111.09$50 inWon+$61.12962.1%18 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe707…e0cfbacked Over55c100$55 inLost-$55955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5e8…6d91backed Over55c100$55 inLost-$551637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost-$5013850%69 W · 69 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4061…dde5backed Over16c93.75$15 inLost-$158720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over31c78.1$24 inLost-$23.91,25356.2%704 W · 549 L+73.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over55c54.55$30 inLost-$303860.5%23 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under68c44.5$30 inWon+$14.2429245.2%132 W · 160 L-24.0wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x37b0…799fbacked Under46c43.48$20 inWon+$23.4815057.3%86 W · 64 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x345c…b59dbacked Over55c36.36$20 inLost-$204456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over55c35$19 inLost-$19.258756.3%49 W · 38 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under47c31.91$15 inWon+$16.919852%51 W · 47 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under45c26.88$12 inWon+$14.7878756.4%444 W · 343 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under56c23.19$13 inWon+$10.1663061.3%386 W · 244 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.