Tennis · resolved market
Wuhan Tennis Open: Iva Jovic vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3abe7fc7344c444e949b52f3b4ffbf24126b63d8eed86fe1009f1ccb7917ec31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jovicof Jovic, Maneiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,839
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,324
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,839 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Maneiro | 44c | 4,500$1,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962.82 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Jovic | 56c | 3,878$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.84 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Jovic | 46c | 1,198$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.92 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Maneiro | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jovic | 64c | 621.41$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.65 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jovic | 59c | 368$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.59 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6d…2d64backed Jovic | 64c | 312.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Maneiro | 54c | 258.1$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.35 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Maneiro | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Maneiro | 36c | 224$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.62 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jovic | 44c | 166.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.46 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Jovic | 70c | 143.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.07 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Jovic | 46c | 108.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.91 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Jovic | 56c | 102$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Jovic | 60c | 90$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maneiro | 55c | 83.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e3…b3a4backed Maneiro | 55c | 81.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Maneiro | 48c | 64.23$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -6.9wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Jovic | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Maneiro | 55c | 54.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Maneiro | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Jovic | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maneiro | 35c | 45.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Maneiro | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed Maneiro | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.