NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Suns
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adaa68da04d1aaed97db93a45ca95b3e0bd6fda18b2d0e928b21fccb583b861
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof 76ers, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed 76ers | 66c | 8,197$5,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,391.42 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed 76ers | 40c | 6,435$2,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,561.11 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Suns | 74c | 6,153$4,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.66 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Suns | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,760.5 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b46…db60backed 76ers | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…28acbacked Suns | 52c | 3,631$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,742.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Suns | 28c | 2,267$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.94 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Suns | 57c | 1,714$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.98 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked 76ers | 28c | 1,474$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.68 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Suns | 26c | 1,371$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.44 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed 76ers | 27c | 1,048$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 76ers | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Suns | 76c | 993.94$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.94 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Suns | 72c | 900$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns | 73c | 774.25$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.05 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed 76ers | 9c | 723.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.94 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…16f3backed Suns | 74c | 675.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed 76ers | 46c | 602.11$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Suns | 73c | 551.84$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Suns | 65c | 547$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.73 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Suns | 21c | 516$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Suns | 50c | 500$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…b1debacked Suns | 72c | 486.12$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.11 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…bbfabacked 76ers | 27c | 485.99$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.22 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed 76ers | 80c | 420$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | -10.5wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Suns | 72c | 419.31$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 138 | 57.2%79 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Suns | 33c | 378.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.8 | 150 | 34%51 W · 99 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed 76ers | 30c | 364.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.11 | 117 | 19.7%23 W · 94 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns | 20c | 300$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns | 70c | 299.55$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.45 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…ccb1backed Suns | 29c | 258.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked 76ers | 25c | 240$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Suns | 67c | 225.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.15 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked 76ers | 27c | 212.22$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.3 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33cc…a0b6backed Suns | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns | 67c | 195.22$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.27 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5063…9826backed Suns | 44c | 190.68$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4965…176fbacked Suns | 44c | 169.39$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Suns | 76c | 154$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 364 | 49.7%181 W · 183 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f0…85e0backed 76ers | 28c | 145.86$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns | 74c | 134.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…be38backed 76ers | 39c | 129.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +4.8wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7405…2797backed Suns | 40c | 114.85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.91 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Suns | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…d68fbacked Suns | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed 76ers | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 424 | 34.4%146 W · 278 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39c…0498backed Suns | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed 76ers | 28c | 95.24$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed 76ers | 33c | 90.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Suns | 71c | 89.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba19…0f73backed 76ers | 26c | 89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.14 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe299…ae8bbacked Suns | 28c | 81.75$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.75 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…1fafbacked 76ers | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked 76ers | 27c | 68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddfb…c994backed Suns | 74c | 67.66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Suns | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa357…d47cbacked Suns | 65c | 67.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed 76ers | 30c | 62.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked 76ers | 24c | 59.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85f5…0009backed Suns | 54c | 55.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0615…5c47backed Suns | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 138 | 23.2%32 W · 106 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked 76ers | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…3c94backed Suns | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…9099backed Suns | 75c | 39.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Suns | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 244 | 62.3%152 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…7524backed 76ers | 51c | 29.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1da8…d939backed 76ers | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18cb…7364backed Suns | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…221cbacked Suns | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd6…d874backed Suns | 71c | 23.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaf…a2e3backed Suns | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f8…5660backed Suns | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…a1e0backed Suns | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a5…6e66backed Suns | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8024…ba91backed Suns | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.7 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde96…5290backed Suns | 76c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.