South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Clube do Remo vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3adfb66fb9ce3834a6c2a39acbf01aad908718b6f5490dd4739819b8e0b5926c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,441
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,441 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 18c | 5,095$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.91 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,349.99 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 72c | 1,382$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.13 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 50c | 833.13$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.05 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3b…6ba5backed Yes | 13c | 800$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.2 | 76 | 19.7%15 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 13c | 769$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.03 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 516.13$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.13 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf49…e7f4backed No | 69c | 383.96$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 22c | 336$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 33c | 280.11$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.83 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes | 31c | 173$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.37 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 170.15$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 110.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 91.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.12 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 46c | 91.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 29c | 91.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 63c | 84$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Yes | 72c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 71c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.47 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 31c | 60$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.4 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 23c | 53.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…af11backed Yes | 31c | 49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 69c | 39.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…b9adbacked Yes | 31c | 36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…1fd1backed Yes | 80c | 25.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed Yes | 50c | 22.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 72c | 21.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Yes | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked No | 78c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.38per pick | 66cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…a366backed No | 69c | 14.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clube do Remo vs. Mirassol FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-02-04?No won
- Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-02-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.