South American Leagues · resolved market

Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b093bf9b2abc7c8d95d553b4da01bf671f961b5ac77851078d54062317d49cd

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $23,430

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under	67c	2,032$1,362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,361.63	294	46.6%137 W · 157 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over	25c	1,487$366 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.73	116	18.1%21 W · 95 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	23cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under	72c	886.66$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.46	1,985	44.8%890 W · 1,095 L	-44.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over	33c	727$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.09	60	55%33 W · 27 L	+3.4wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	23c	680.03$158 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$521.77	5,757	45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L	+94.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under	53c	566.16$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	85	56.5%48 W · 37 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over	33c	303.03$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.03	111	27%30 W · 81 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	60c	292.06$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.17	8,107	48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L	+26.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x426d…2962backed Under	50c	206.75$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.38	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb14f…6655backed Under	50c	206.6$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8748…a5cbbacked Under	50c	206.43$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.22	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b06…3ef9backed Under	50c	204.85$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.43	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe42…8e5cbacked Under	50c	204.32$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.16	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8626…acc2backed Under	50c	203.83$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43a4…821dbacked Under	50c	200.47$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.24	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over	45c	200$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$110	489	22.9%112 W · 377 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f1e…009abacked Under	50c	199.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1494…0593backed Under	50c	198.51$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.26	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd5dc…d448backed Under	50c	196.01$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad0…d55cbacked Under	50c	194.75$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.38	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff6…2ff7backed Under	50c	190.22$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2181…32b2backed Under	50c	182.56$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.28	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce86…d315backed Under	50c	182.47$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x382b…7f14backed Under	50c	181.83$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.92	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44df…7855backed Under	50c	181.53$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.77	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c22…aa04backed Under	50c	165.15$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6322…85a3backed Under	50c	163.81$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x90a0…0579backed Under	50c	162.2$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.1	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc1fb…6a96backed Under	50c	161.63$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.82	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc6f8…d24fbacked Under	50c	161.59$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x460d…1cedbacked Under	50c	161.52$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.76	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x608d…ad99backed Under	50c	160.42$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.21	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.6wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3227…6df7backed Under	50c	159.72$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.86	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a65…88e5backed Under	50c	159.66$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce12…e22ebacked Under	50c	159.55$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.78	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdab5…95a1backed Under	50c	159.38$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.69	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1a0…77bdbacked Under	50c	159.26$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.63	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-2.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a6c…a200backed Under	50c	159.25$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.63	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…43fbbacked Under	50c	159.06$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.53	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa876…ed40backed Under	50c	157.84$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c34…7bc6backed Under	50c	157.75$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.88	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0919…6690backed Under	50c	157.43$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.72	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaccb…5b2ebacked Under	50c	157.35$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.68	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9dc…6a9fbacked Under	50c	156.6$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…14bcbacked Under	50c	156.48$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.24	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee2…9375backed Under	50c	156.23$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1324…eb09backed Under	50c	156.22$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.11	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb074…2b84backed Under	50c	156.02$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.01	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8ce…5893backed Under	50c	155.96$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.98	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fb…72ccbacked Under	50c	155.83$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.92	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15f1…0e51backed Under	50c	155.75$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde23…6f34backed Under	50c	155.73$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.87	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b09…e3d3backed Under	50c	155.38$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe07c…71b9backed Under	50c	155.16$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.58	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…0f5bbacked Under	50c	155.1$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.55	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.52per pick	52cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…3ea0backed Under	50c	154.78$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.39	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc51b…d43dbacked Under	50c	154.61$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x512c…3ff5backed Under	50c	154.22$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.11	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db7…251ebacked Under	50c	153.93$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.97	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2231…7c55backed Under	50c	153.61$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.81	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe960…ea22backed Under	50c	152.32$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.16	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.0wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0843…d4c8backed Under	50c	152.18$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x351f…ccb4backed Under	50c	151.74$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4c6…d9c3backed Under	50c	150.7$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.35	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f4…2df3backed Under	50c	150.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Under	69c	150$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	85	54.1%46 W · 39 L	+5.0wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over	33c	149$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.83	507	46.7%237 W · 270 L	-5.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over	31c	140$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.6	78	52.6%41 W · 37 L	+2.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	54c	134.19$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.95	2,170	43.7%948 W · 1,222 L	-53.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	53c	130.91$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.18	2,388	51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over	33c	105.21$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.49	636	57.5%366 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over	33c	102.26$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.51	477	58.1%277 W · 200 L	+8.1wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Over	31c	100$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	79	43%34 W · 45 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under	69c	90$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.1	72	47.2%34 W · 38 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under	69c	86.96$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	18	72.2%13 W · 5 L	+1.6wins	+0.09per pick	64cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over	34c	72.49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.79	449	59%265 W · 184 L	+22.4wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Over	34c	66.74$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.37	72	69.4%50 W · 22 L	+12.3wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+37.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	33c	61.2$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.18	1,328	57%757 W · 571 L	+57.8wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5746…06cfbacked Over	48c	46.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.43	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	-2.3wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf75b…ed74backed Over	26c	41$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.43	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+2.2wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over	35c	40.49$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.32	388	61.3%238 W · 150 L	+14.5wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07e3…37b1backed Under	72c	37.65$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-4.8wins	-0.32per pick	59cpaid	-59.7%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x0045…9007backed Under	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	46.8%51 W · 58 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf824…651fbacked Under	77c	32.47$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Under	35c	32.46$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.36	293	62.5%183 W · 110 L	+13.1wins	+0.04per pick	58cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under	66c	29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.14	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77e6…0ae1backed Under	76c	20$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	14	71.4%10 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5this page
Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5Over won
Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)FC Juárez won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event