South American Leagues · resolved market
Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99159f254951ac95a89b23612b5e00d083bc9a02cad0a337c0e10ac15eda3564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $130,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 45c | 118,403$52,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,796.96 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Over | 55c | 21,910$12,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,859.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Over | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 18,281$10,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,043.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 10,534$5,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,682.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Over | 55c | 8,172$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,677.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Over | 56c | 7,655$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,393.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Over | 55c | 7,080$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,186 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 55c | 6,122$3,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,754.9 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 55c | 3,333$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.01 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 56c | 2,567$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,138.96 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 56c | 2,058$1,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.49 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Over | 56c | 1,161$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.39 | 72 | 69.4%50 W · 22 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.85 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.85 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Over | 56c | 1,154$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.85 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Over | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 53c | 491.1$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 55c | 462.85$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.49 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 56c | 425.89$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5746…06cfbacked Over | 53c | 345$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.2 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 320.14$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Over | 56c | 307.14$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.14 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 56c | 289.71$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.47 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 61c | 284.46$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.3 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 54c | 277.06$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.06 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Over | 55c | 254.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 56c | 247.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.82 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Over | 56c | 246$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 56c | 210$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.09 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 56c | 148.73$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 52c | 118.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.27 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 56c | 107.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Over | 56c | 101.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.66 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e3…99a1backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.44per pick | 43cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Under | 47c | 83$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Over | 56c | 69.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 258 | 64.3%166 W · 92 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Over | 40c | 68.33$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed Over | 36c | 64.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.02 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 58.82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 46c | 54.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a01…c0f7backed Over | 56c | 53.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 47c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.45 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef41…2473backed Over | 49c | 42.43$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 42c | 38.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 246 | 54.9%135 W · 111 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Over | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…d801backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fed…a1f9backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed12…246abacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e5…af5ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a1…3a92backed Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd99a…1f3ebacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 56c | 34.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Over | 55c | 34.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec74…9e6abacked Over | 44c | 34.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Over | 56c | 33.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 56c | 30.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Over | 56c | 30.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa64f…e598backed Over | 54c | 27.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 26.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 42c | 23.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Over | 57c | 19.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b74…1e21backed Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10a0…e54dbacked Over | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 2.5this page
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 1.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 3.5Over won
- Club León FC vs. FC Juárez: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Club León FC (-2.5)FC Juárez won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.