NHL · resolved market
Blue Jackets vs. Jets: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b1d2ca21765c400e14bd5ec17bde93811bb38ab5c4894f75da608e81b7c8701
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 50c | 52,177$25,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,217.55 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 16,655$8,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,493.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 49c | 12,000$5,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,880 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 51c | 11,623$5,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,695.28 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under | 50c | 10,976$5,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,488 | 168 | 43.5%73 W · 95 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 7,905$3,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,794.4 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Under | 50c | 7,900$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Under | 50c | 5,160$2,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,580 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 3,813$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.67 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Under | 51c | 3,093$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.27 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 49c | 2,080$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.8 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Over | 52c | 1,905$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.4 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,409$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.44 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 48c | 1,400$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e93…e4f7backed Under | 53c | 676.36$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.47 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…8645backed Under | 52c | 640$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…e5d7backed Over | 48c | 640$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Under | 48c | 582.58$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.64 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 48c | 435$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 48c | 207.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under | 52c | 150$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 480 | 46.9%225 W · 255 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Under | 52c | 142$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.84 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 50c | 118$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.58 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked Over | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Under | 48c | 85.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Under | 52c | 46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 49 | 67.3%33 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33b7…c747backed Over | 48c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c73…36c5backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…9f5abacked Over | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Under | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under | 49c | 23.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed Under | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blue Jackets vs. Jets: O/U 6.5this page
- Blue Jackets vs. JetsJets won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.