Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Houston Christian Huskies vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 137.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b29c57acff79f3c7a29a08b837053579a7ea0a2628db663b2063cdbf1c42ef0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $847,513
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $850,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $847,513 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked Under | 49c | 301,409$147,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,690.27 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 49c | 299,906$147,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147,453.09 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 51c | 251,336$128,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123,154.59 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +15.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 51c | 223,451$112,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,520.22 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 51c | 144,267$73,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,919.8 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 49c | 9,999$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.51 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 51c | 3,750$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.53 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,691$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Over | 53c | 1,860$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.78 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 47c | 1,460$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.59 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Under | 48c | 1,402$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.09 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82a…cc74backed Over | 53c | 732.17$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.56 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 51c | 634.27$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…c254backed Over | 51c | 501.31$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…88fdbacked Under | 45c | 399.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Under | 47c | 271.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Under | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…e07abacked Under | 53c | 224.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 55c | 209.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Over | 46c | 193.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.47 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1c3…be5abacked Over | 54c | 185.28$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc66…caf0backed Over | 55c | 158.18$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 53c | 143.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Under | 48c | 104.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -5.9wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -66%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 50c | 102.6$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…944cbacked Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 50c | 82.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…6421backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Under | 51c | 78.17$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…7d73backed Over | 65c | 76.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…7f09backed Over | 51c | 53.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed Over | 67c | 52.35$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcecc…affebacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf389…e45dbacked Over | 51c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 51c | 42.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.66 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8918…f4e4backed Over | 50c | 41.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20c8…6354backed Under | 49c | 40.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865a…901bbacked Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 49c | 34.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b02…399dbacked Under | 51c | 33.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -77.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…03c5backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1d…d031backed Over | 51c | 28.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 51cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Over | 52c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Over | 52c | 21.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 85 | 56.5%48 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a3…61debacked Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 137.5this page
- Houston Christian Huskies vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 138.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.