Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Bucknell Bison
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3fdbc0fb5aa88da961ad47695eaa13f88d33b9a0f09316fa28ec14ae502f6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucknell Bisonof Lehigh Mountain Hawks, Bucknell Bison
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,656
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,656 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 46c | 3,264$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.31 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bucknell Bison | 61c | 1,933$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.69 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Bucknell Bison | 60c | 549$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.32 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bucknell Bison | 35c | 489$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.17 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 24c | 298.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.13 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bucknell Bison | 53c | 294.98$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.76 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Bucknell Bison | 58c | 287.03$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.12 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 126 | 42.1%53 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Bucknell Bison | 40c | 145.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 30c | 128.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 24c | 109$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Bucknell Bison | 45c | 102.64$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 23c | 73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bucknell Bison | 62c | 61$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bucknell Bison | 64c | 54.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 45c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe7…8b77backed Bucknell Bison | 65c | 30.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.