Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Ashlyn Krueger
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c5807ac547e0212cf9f94eb599b49642d6d36777761f741164b72b4a1d879d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ashlyn Kruegerof Mariam Bolkvadze, Ashlyn Krueger
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $80,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $94,930
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 10c | 12,645$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.26 | 9,161 | 36.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L | -202.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 6c | 3,367$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.83 | 3,749 | 42.5%1,594 W · 2,155 L | -44.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 26c | 3,205$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.26 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 31c | 3,107$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$963 | 1,286 | 56.8%731 W · 555 L | -16.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x749e…1090backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 17c | 2,900$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 2,469$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.96 | 636 | 51.7%329 W · 307 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 6c | 1,902$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 1,762$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.5 | 165 | 58.8%97 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 22c | 1,514$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.56 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 757 | 43.3%328 W · 429 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 1,421$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.09 | 11,779 | 43.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L | +20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…acbabacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 1,420$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.6 | 260 | 65%169 W · 91 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 28c | 1,419$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.62 | 3,731 | 45.3%1,690 W · 2,041 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 8c | 1,390$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.25 | 6,678 | 50.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L | +265.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 1,300$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1,800 | 47.2%849 W · 951 L | -45.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 8c | 1,299$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 4,277 | 45%1,925 W · 2,352 L | +21.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 13c | 1,250$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.5 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 1,054$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 244 | 50.8%124 W · 120 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 15c | 1,021$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.84 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 19c | 950.41$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 4,784 | 49.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L | +177.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 913.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.16 | 787 | 36%283 W · 504 L | +36.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 19c | 879.1$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.77 | 5,455 | 56.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L | +234.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…93cebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 600$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Ashlyn Krueger | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 398 | 56.5%225 W · 173 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 500.2$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.28 | 9,406 | 44.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L | -245.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 2,061 | 48.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L | +35.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 9c | 477.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 1,837 | 46.5%855 W · 982 L | +20.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 355.7$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 635 | 57.3%364 W · 271 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 338.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 12c | 327$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 22c | 320$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 502 | 40.6%204 W · 298 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 313.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.17 | 347 | 47.8%166 W · 181 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…14d7backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 297.75$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.95 | 384 | 66.7%256 W · 128 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 198.98$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.23 | 957 | 45.6%436 W · 521 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mariam Bolkvadze | 13c | 191.77$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.93 | 4,376 | 52.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L | +67.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 165.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,428 | 55%785 W · 643 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 151.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 2,104 | 44.5%937 W · 1,167 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…46c8backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 27c | 135.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 228 | 21.1%48 W · 180 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf254…1024backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 17c | 118$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 2,554 | 36.3%928 W · 1,626 L | -23.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 10c | 110.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 2,881 | 49.5%1,427 W · 1,454 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89fb…141bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 108.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 12c | 92.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 8,834 | 42.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L | -169.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 15c | 83.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Mariam Bolkvadze | 22c | 74.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2,899 | 39.6%1,147 W · 1,752 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 57.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 593 | 57.8%343 W · 250 L | +21.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Ashlyn Krueger | 74c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0195…9f64backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 259 | 69.1%179 W · 80 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…52aebacked Ashlyn Krueger | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf21…667bbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 77c | 24.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 227 | 18.9%43 W · 184 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c8…a24abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 72c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Ashlyn Krueger | 73c | 20.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 1,892 | 57.5%1,087 W · 805 L | +105.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec7…93d1backed Ashlyn Krueger | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 107 | 78.5%84 W · 23 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Ashlyn Krueger | 80c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 802 | 51%409 W · 393 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edb…00a9backed Ashlyn Krueger | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Ashlyn Krueger | 78c | 13.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.02 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +17.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.