Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c7554ff96b000cfd9ede670196c4718da7dcfdb858a8c01ed53cebb6b99da93
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LYONof Contra, LYON
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,806 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Contra | 1c | 1,533$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 274 | 11.3%31 W · 243 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x679d…6f07backed Contra | 7c | 1,408$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Contra | 10c | 1,385$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Contra | 11c | 731$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.37 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e59…a5e0backed Contra | 16c | 590$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4c…1ccbbacked Contra | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…6461backed Contra | 16c | 470$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaaa…bc87backed Contra | 16c | 460$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…1294backed Contra | 15c | 390$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac0…b014backed Contra | 14c | 340$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Contra | 10c | 273.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Contra | 11c | 215.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked Contra | 22c | 209.71$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Contra | 12c | 183.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Contra | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Contra | 9c | 180$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Contra | 13c | 131$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Contra | 15c | 120$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Contra | 13c | 106.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Contra | 16c | 100.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Contra | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Contra | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Contra | 14c | 84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked LYON | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +139.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 1 WinnerLYON won
- Valorant: Contra vs LYON - Map 2 WinnerLYON won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.