NHL · resolved market
SHL: Brynaes vs. Vaexjoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c927da2f1f3cfa2169cdb7c945756590b91c8a689a3522f407518538eef4e69
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vaexjoeof Brynaes, Vaexjoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,252
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Brynaes | 67c | 147.28$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.85 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Brynaes | 65c | 137.42$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.73 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Vaexjoe | 37c | 134.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 226 | 55.3%125 W · 101 L | +17.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Brynaes | 40c | 110.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 498 | 51%254 W · 244 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Brynaes | 67c | 107.41$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Vaexjoe | 38c | 104.55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Vaexjoe | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Vaexjoe | 36c | 99.58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.07 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Vaexjoe | 33c | 98.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Brynaes | 68c | 84.76$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Brynaes | 17c | 80.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Brynaes | 63c | 69.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Vaexjoe | 33c | 64.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.98 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked Brynaes | 62c | 63.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.56 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Vaexjoe | 49c | 59.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked Brynaes | 67c | 53.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.04 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 73cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Vaexjoe | 32c | 49.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.99 | 346 | 53.2%184 W · 162 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Brynaes | 40c | 47.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Brynaes | 64c | 40.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Vaexjoe | 34c | 39.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…cca3backed Brynaes | 50c | 34.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5279…1fe6backed Vaexjoe | 50c | 33.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…8be6backed Vaexjoe | 32c | 33.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403d…2709backed Brynaes | 67c | 32.52$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 102 | 62.7%64 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…1df5backed Brynaes | 50c | 32.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…5afbbacked Vaexjoe | 50c | 31.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d9…f383backed Brynaes | 50c | 30.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cd…b654backed Vaexjoe | 50c | 29.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x417c…c0cbbacked Brynaes | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…3f05backed Vaexjoe | 50c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Brynaes | 62c | 24.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f04…242bbacked Brynaes | 65c | 22.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd341…9c0bbacked Brynaes | 50c | 21.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48a6…c133backed Vaexjoe | 50c | 20.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Brynaes | 63c | 19.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Brynaes | 66c | 19.65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Vaexjoe | 75c | 19.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.