Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ca4f02498e5d2d3ee75b3b218c77e64500a5484064e1e4423e4807ea6de7278
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas Tech Red Raidersof Texas Tech Red Raiders, West Virginia Mountaineers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 5,680$2,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,985.3 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 58c | 2,555$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -6.3wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 1,460$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.9 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 1,445$723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.5 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 1,253$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.88 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 62c | 967$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.48 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 952.75$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.75 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 675.61$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 44c | 670.6$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 54c | 571$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.71 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…fba7backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 43c | 394.42$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…7ddebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 57c | 349.23$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.23 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 45c | 312.5$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 49c | 237.4$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.32 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 205$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.65 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 46c | 200.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.23 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 51c | 167.62$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 104$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 55c | 94$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 46c | 73.81$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…e1f0backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 52c | 59.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 268 | 48.1%129 W · 139 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 53c | 45.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 47c | 36.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 148 | 46.6%69 W · 79 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Texas Tech Red Raiders | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed West Virginia Mountaineers | 48c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked West Virginia Mountaineers | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-4.5)this page
- Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-5.5)Texas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia MountaineersTexas Tech Red Raiders won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 136.5Under won
- Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. West Virginia Mountaineers: O/U 137.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.