MLB · resolved market
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cf71f6670267845191687475832200bb4afe51c4b383c5192a71c01b9a9f6db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof Lotte Giants, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,750
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,750 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed LG Twins | 58c | 1,872$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.25 | 856 | 35.7%306 W · 550 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 1,505$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 863.97$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.89 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 504.19$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.63 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd151…daacbacked Lotte Giants | 34c | 340.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed LG Twins | 53c | 304.95$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 875 | 52.7%461 W · 414 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Lotte Giants | 22c | 297.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.54 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed LG Twins | 58c | 270.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.75 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Lotte Giants | 30c | 212.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked LG Twins | 19c | 195$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.95 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 17cpaid | +118%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked LG Twins | 60c | 180.53$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.21 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9950…1432backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 159.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.83 | 158 | 49.4%78 W · 80 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 155.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.17 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 60c | 150.98$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.02 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe344…7060backed LG Twins | 60c | 143.96$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…a80dbacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 127.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked LG Twins | 56c | 110.63$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 1,728 | 50.4%871 W · 857 L | +57.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 99.88$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.95 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed LG Twins | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked Lotte Giants | 37c | 95.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Lotte Giants | 23c | 93.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Lotte Giants | 31c | 93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed LG Twins | 61c | 79.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.85 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 78.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +4.5wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 74.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed LG Twins | 18c | 73.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.18 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed LG Twins | 58c | 56.08$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c04…03febacked Lotte Giants | 30c | 54.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed LG Twins | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lotte Giants | 40c | 46.71$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 950 | 41.5%394 W · 556 L | -48.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19f5…c385backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 45.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -6.8wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed LG Twins | 61c | 42.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed LG Twins | 61c | 42.77$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -9.0wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 393 | 51.9%204 W · 189 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 452 | 46.2%209 W · 243 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 344 | 52.6%181 W · 163 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 1,212 | 50%606 W · 606 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed LG Twins | 61c | 38.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked LG Twins | 61c | 32.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed LG Twins | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb756…5846backed LG Twins | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked LG Twins | 55c | 27.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 26.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4271…3f6dbacked LG Twins | 60c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 407 | 50.4%205 W · 202 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefad…9c1bbacked LG Twins | 59c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…a8dabacked LG Twins | 65c | 22.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.91 | 209 | 55.5%116 W · 93 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed LG Twins | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 162 | 56.2%91 W · 71 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c2…c9debacked LG Twins | 65c | 16.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.