MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d1d1bcd803f8cc54a47cb9df036ae024ebfa49c7011739de53b980724be5902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Brewers, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $76,401
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 289 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Brewers | 46c | 19,497$9,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,011.78 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Cardinals | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.99 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…5059backed Brewers | 26c | 4,392$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 75c | 3,464$2,589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.63 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Cardinals | 44c | 3,166$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,762.31 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 2,947$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 2,827$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.16 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Cardinals | 65c | 2,699$1,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.68 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 71c | 2,463$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.05 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 2,259$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.4 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Brewers | 56c | 2,214$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Cardinals | 68c | 2,105$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.24 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7784…5b6dbacked Brewers | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Brewers | 57c | 1,726$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.05 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Cardinals | 44c | 1,612$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.88 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cardinals | 25c | 1,375$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.3 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Cardinals | 43c | 1,211$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.27 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +4.8wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Brewers | 67c | 1,007$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4b…d004backed Brewers | 12c | 854.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cardinals | 48c | 844.46$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.52 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 43c | 799.97$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Brewers | 56c | 714.29$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Brewers | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…822cbacked Brewers | 58c | 689.66$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 42c | 624.77$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.37 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Brewers | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 42c | 568.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.9 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Brewers | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 57c | 526$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 44c | 524.53$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.73 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Cardinals | 42c | 509.97$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.78 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Brewers | 11c | 506.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 37c | 500$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.33 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Cardinals | 44c | 475$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Cardinals | 46c | 453.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.83 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brewers | 62c | 433.29$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.4 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ce…e3aebacked Brewers | 46c | 420.37$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba14…b792backed Cardinals | 42c | 404$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.32 | 446 | 43.3%193 W · 253 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6692…1125backed Brewers | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | -14.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…3231backed Brewers | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Brewers | 55c | 373$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.15 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 69c | 330.43$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Brewers | 11c | 260.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 315 | 47.3%149 W · 166 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…aa92backed Brewers | 32c | 254.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 356 | 52.5%187 W · 169 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 245.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.43 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadc4…1ce3backed Brewers | 13c | 240$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Brewers | 38c | 237.7$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.51 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Brewers | 18c | 221.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…7c90backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +6.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd1…f50fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe325…9408backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f7…7f8dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…5836backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…6179backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2f…8cf4backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…fb4fbacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…d780backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2289…6ceebacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…ed5abacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6994…c144backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…0255backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe5…3c80backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…69d9backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b7…c03ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9558backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…9886backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7273…bc26backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…4f1fbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe12d…2e6abacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df5…2390backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a1…dd3ebacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…9ca6backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f4…2663backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4545…3405backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…d260backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e05…e163backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…59ddbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…7bf6backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…7aa6backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…ba79backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd18…1e0bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacad…8443backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea7…28aabacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x618f…9e04backed Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2855…8cb6backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2a…9b5dbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked Cardinals | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked Brewers | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brewers vs. Cardinalsthis page
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.