Fifa International · resolved market
Will Benin win on 2026-06-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d488d2ce68116779993d86eec93e6944bcd72675e121d3770fdce84efb2e475
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 4,471$3,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 2,437$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.98 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 10c | 2,250$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.99 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf5…0144backed Yes | 62c | 1,800$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.84 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 69c | 1,607$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.85 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 1,145$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.05 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23d7…101ebacked Yes | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Yes | 30c | 499.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 237 | 29.1%69 W · 168 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 70c | 344.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 414 | 51.4%213 W · 201 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 70c | 344.06$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.22 | 355 | 49.9%177 W · 178 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 329.34$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 316.5$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…cec1backed Yes | 6c | 253.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Yes | 13c | 252.09$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 175 | 13.7%24 W · 151 L | -19.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 216.99$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 204.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.32 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 135.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 33c | 134.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yes | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…f72abacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 93.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726d…b10dbacked Yes | 23c | 85.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…f01ebacked Yes | 32c | 84.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 169 | 37.3%63 W · 106 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Yes | 31c | 66.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 481 | 52.4%252 W · 229 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 57c | 58.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 908 | 40.9%371 W · 537 L | -64.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 31c | 51.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 48c | 43.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x264f…1b98backed Yes | 31c | 42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 137 | 32.1%44 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 260 | 47.3%123 W · 137 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a07…1d4dbacked No | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 132 | 31.8%42 W · 90 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked No | 69c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x008e…4806backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 370 | 57.3%212 W · 158 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 24.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.82 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 68c | 19.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 72c | 18.22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 75c | 15.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b7…04b2backed No | 69c | 14.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Benin win on 2026-06-09?this page
- Will Togo vs. Benin end in a draw?No won
- Will Togo win on 2026-06-09?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.