Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Worcestershire vs Middlesex
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5f999f980d069b1bef08c55a458981c9be7a48beddd6660fc896d7d3b96273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Worcestershireof Worcestershire, Middlesex
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,411
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Middlesex | 6c | 2,337$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Worcestershire | 45c | 846.61$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.9 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Middlesex | 55c | 839.2$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.37 | 434 | 41%178 W · 256 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Middlesex | 51c | 388.32$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 228 | 34.2%78 W · 150 L | -17.6wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Worcestershire | 45c | 378.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.24 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Middlesex | 55c | 372.4$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Worcestershire | 42c | 213.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.55 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…d336backed Worcestershire | 44c | 185.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Middlesex | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Middlesex | 45c | 105.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Middlesex | 42c | 102.82$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Middlesex | 35c | 90.57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Worcestershire | 57c | 86.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 318 | 39.9%127 W · 191 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Middlesex | 56c | 84.76$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.36 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Worcestershire | 46c | 83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Worcestershire | 46c | 74.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Middlesex | 56c | 68.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.35 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Middlesex | 47c | 65.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 385 | 44.4%171 W · 214 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Middlesex | 50c | 52.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Worcestershire | 46c | 51.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118d…d432backed Middlesex | 50c | 44.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Worcestershire | 45c | 42.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Middlesex | 37c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Middlesex | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Middlesex | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 416 | 47.4%197 W · 219 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Worcestershire | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Worcestershire | 46c | 28.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 77 | 62.3%48 W · 29 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Middlesex | 42c | 26.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Worcestershire | 45c | 25.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Middlesex | 67c | 24.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Worcestershire | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Worcestershire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x100b…e845backed Worcestershire | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.