NHL · resolved market
Avalanche vs. Blues
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3dac5e5372bd329c744cc3fbbddf8619d1f9223a32513fc13377f5c5519d529f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bluesof Avalanche, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,449
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,449 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Avalanche | 10c | 7,353$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.72 | 323 | 31.3%101 W · 222 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 3,541$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.53 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Blues | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8086…22b7backed Avalanche | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…2485backed Blues | 42c | 1,498$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.83 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b6…c3bfbacked Avalanche | 58c | 1,234$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d09…3dcebacked Blues | 42c | 1,234$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Blues | 41c | 1,200$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.89 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Avalanche | 44c | 914.96$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 216 | 20.4%44 W · 172 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blues | 43c | 705$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…3a1cbacked Blues | 42c | 619.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…130dbacked Avalanche | 58c | 619.97$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.58 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Blues | 37c | 565$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.85 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Blues | 41c | 548.78$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.78 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Blues | 40c | 545.63$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.34 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Blues | 40c | 482.42$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.45 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Avalanche | 48c | 351.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.9 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034b…8bc0backed Blues | 41c | 332.35$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.09 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Blues | 40c | 323.36$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Avalanche | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Avalanche | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Blues | 40c | 244$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.4 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Blues | 40c | 188$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 605 | 49.3%298 W · 307 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Blues | 41c | 173.52$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.81 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Avalanche | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9841backed Avalanche | 59c | 166.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Avalanche | 60c | 124.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 731 | 57.5%420 W · 311 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…4641backed Blues | 43c | 116.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.68 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blues | 60c | 110.17$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.36 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blues | 61c | 106.85$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Blues | 42c | 105.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 156 | 63.5%99 W · 57 L | +17.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Blues | 43c | 100.26$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.26 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50fa…d8fdbacked Blues | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11e…ff89backed Avalanche | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Blues | 40c | 99.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8d…d880backed Avalanche | 60c | 98.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…0dc6backed Blues | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…f9e6backed Avalanche | 59c | 97$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571c…1f49backed Blues | 42c | 96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…ed4abacked Blues | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 58cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…a1d1backed Blues | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Avalanche | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Avalanche | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Blues | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 157 | 30.6%48 W · 109 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…9a10backed Blues | 43c | 65.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde71…070ebacked Blues | 44c | 63.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa0…fcc4backed Avalanche | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Blues | 28c | 58.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.04 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcb…f083backed Blues | 44c | 54.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Avalanche | 57c | 54.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e8…b150backed Avalanche | 75c | 53.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5590…3602backed Avalanche | 60c | 53.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e5…13f6backed Blues | 41c | 53.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6357…63febacked Blues | 41c | 52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Avalanche | 59c | 52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aea…6617backed Avalanche | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…6a63backed Avalanche | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…5a2ebacked Blues | 43c | 51.16$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Avalanche | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f7…2bcebacked Avalanche | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc45…7058backed Avalanche | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed Avalanche | 59c | 49.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Blues | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9383…ef1dbacked Blues | 41c | 43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…c6f7backed Avalanche | 60c | 41.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28a…6bdcbacked Blues | 43c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.52 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95e5…44d9backed Avalanche | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Blues | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.4 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…4bd6backed Avalanche | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc4…8c38backed Avalanche | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Blues | 40c | 33.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.81 | 583 | 46.5%271 W · 312 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Avalanche | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4164…7c2abacked Avalanche | 59c | 31.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…65fbbacked Blues | 42c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c00…3974backed Avalanche | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7413…a22abacked Blues | 43c | 29.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.85 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Avalanche | 56c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…ffdebacked Blues | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd4…18babacked Blues | 44c | 25.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…fe68backed Blues | 41c | 25.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f5…9093backed Avalanche | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Avalanche | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…7e66backed Avalanche | 59c | 24.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…9a70backed Blues | 43c | 24.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b00…a87dbacked Avalanche | 59c | 22.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09b7…4428backed Avalanche | 59c | 21.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c7…7574backed Avalanche | 60c | 20.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e42…37d4backed Avalanche | 59c | 20.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c7…2fe4backed Avalanche | 59c | 19.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7aa…9e38backed Avalanche | 60c | 18.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…ecbebacked Avalanche | 59c | 18.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46bc…6db6backed Avalanche | 60c | 17.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.